Fantasy 2011 Week 5, Some Not So Obvious Sits and Plays

Fantasy Links Fantasy 2011 Week 5, Some Not So Obvious Sits and Plays

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Fantasy Plays

TE Jermaine Gresham, Bengals at Jaguars

Gresham is second on the Bengals with 28 targets behind AJ Green.  He has been thrown to at the goal line in every game this year, scoring twice; he is the 11th ranked fantasy TE.  The Jaguars have allowed the most fantasy points to TE’s in 2011; the last several weeks have seen the Jaguars allow Jimmy Graham 10-132-1, Greg Olsen 7-57-1, and Dustin Keller 6-105-1.  Andy Dalton is getting more comfortable every week at quarterback, it all adds to what should be a solid game for Gresham   

RB Joseph Addai, Colts vs. Chiefs

Addai is not going to be the fantasy back he was with Peyton Manning but this week’s match up appears to be favorable. Addai has averaged more than 80 yards rushing in his career games against the Chiefs and has scored twice. The Chiefs allow 130 yards a game on the ground and have given up 5 rushing touchdowns in 2011. They have allowed the 4th most fantasy points to running backs this year. For the Colts to win they need to run and not put the game on Curtis Painter’s shoulders. Addai should have at least 20 touches. The Chiefs have not won on the road against the Colts since 1980, a 38-28 win in Baltimore, the passing combination of Bill Kenney to Henry Marshall out gunned Bert Jones to Roger Carr that day.

RB Isaac Redman, Steelers vs. Titans

With Rashard Mendenhall and Melwelde Moore probably sitting this Sunday because of injuries, Redman will become the work horse. The Steeler offensive line is not protecting Ben Roethlisberger and they need to run the ball. It will not be an easy task; the Titans allow just 87.8 yards a game on the ground and have given up just one rushing touchdown.  Redman should be involved all day, not just rushing but catching the ball out of the backfield. Expect him to see 25-30 touches Sunday.

QB, Eli Manning, Giants vs. Seahawks

Manning is the ninth ranked fantasy quarterback in 2011. He has thrown 8 scores and has three consecutive multiple touchdown pass games. With Hakeem Nicks back at full strength and Victor Cruz playing at a surprising high level he has the targets to score well every week. The Seahawks have allowed an average of 280 passing yards their last several games and have just 5 sacks. They will not be able to pressure Manning and he should be able to pick them apart.

Fantasy Sits

QB Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers vs. Titans

He always seems to play his best when you do not expect him to, but for this week pay attention to all the signs to sit him. Ben’s offensive line has allowed 14 sacks, he gets lineman Doug Legursky and Jonathan Scott back but even with that, they will still have their hands full with the Titans who have ten sacks this year.  They have allowed just 4 touchdown passes, have 5 interceptions, and give up just 212 passing yards a game. The Steelers will run as much as they can and when they throw it will be on short routes and screens to protect him, not a recipe for Roethlisberger to have a big day.

 RB, Chris Wells Cardinals at Vikings

Fantasy football is all statistics if nothing else. Wells has rushed for 4 touchdowns and has averaged 5.63 yards a carry his last two games. This all says that he should be started, but although the Vikings are 0-4 they still have a tough run defense. They are allowing just 76.3 yards a game and about three yards a carry. Last year at home the Vikings held the Cardinals to 53 yards rushing. It may be hard to do, but if you can find another running back, Wells will find it tough to gain 60 yards Sunday. Since the Vikings moved into the Metrodome in 1982, the Cardinals have played six games there, gaining an average of just 47 yards on the ground those games.

WR Marques Colston, Saints at Panthers

Colston should be back at full strength this week after missing most of the season with his collarbone injury. While has was gone Drew Brees may have found a new favorite target in TE Jimmy Graham. Colston made his living over the middle, and Brees did not miss a step connecting to that part of the field with Graham. Colston has not done much against the Panthers recently; in his last 5 games against them he has just 14 receptions for 149 yards and has not scored. The Panthers have not able to stop the run; the Saints will focus more on the ground this week than they usually do. With Colston just coming back, Brees having found perhaps a new go to receiver, Colston is not performing well against the Panthers the last few years, and that the Saints will run more Sunday, keep Colston on your bench.

RB Frank Gore, 49’ers vs. Buccaneers

Gore came into the game in the 4th period last week to punish the soft Eagle run defense for 127 yards and a touchdown. This week will look nothing like last week. The Buccaneers are 11th in the league against the run, allowing 101 yards a game and 4 yards a carry. Better than average, but they are playing much better than that recently, holding the Falcons to thirty yards rushing and the Colts to 62. Gore had one of his worst games 2010 against the Buccaneers in San Francisco; he had twelve attempts for just 23 yards. He is running better on the road than at home, against the Seahawks and Cowboys at Bill Walsh Field he totaled 116 yards on forty two carries, just 2.8 yards a carry. Find another running back this week.

 

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Kurt Backert

About Kurt Backert

Kurt's passion for the game began in the 60's watching the Colts on TV and at Memorial Stadium in Baltimore. He began following the statistics of not only his beloved Colts but also those of the Colts opponents, with a keen eye on Vince Lombardi's Packers. His thirst for and attention to statistical detail would eventually lead Kurt on a journey to the world of fantasy football in the late 1980's where he's captured more titles than John Wooden's UCLA Bruins   Kurt carries a distinction that no other fan of the NFL can boast about.  He is the reigning NFL National Trivia Champion and he credits his Dad for passing on such passion for the game, something Kurt also hopes to pass along to his 9-year-old son. More from Kurt Backert

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