Mock drafts for me aren’t worth the time that it takes to read them.
Making matters worse this year is the fact that there are so few blue chip prospects. Are high-end athletes focusing on sports other than football that aren’t as taxing on their bodies both in the short-term and long-term?
Baseball is clearly a safer and more lucrative sport. So is basketball.
But back on point, with so few studs in the 2013 NFL Draft how can any mock draft produce anything but more mockery?
I also have to laugh at the mainstream media members and their insatiable appetite to break a story. They’ll chase any lead, real or false, and then put it out there to give them some kind of competitive edge.
Sometimes the news is real. Sometimes it’s qualified with some cleverly scripted language like, “According to a source speaking on the condition of anonymity…” And sometimes the “news” is intended to throw off a false scent – a red herring of sorts.
Agents will filter news about their clients to achieve a premeditated effect. Some teams might also do the same.
Maybe a team GM knowing that a particular beat writer or columnist has a solid following might let it out that they plan to move up in the draft to select a certain player.
In both scenarios the journalist becomes a pawn in the agent’s or GM’s scheme.
Does anyone really think the Ravens would let out their draft plans in Round 1? Really? Have you been paying attention at all?
All of this gamesmanship reminds me of snowball fights when I was a youngster. One guy on our side would throw a snowball as high as he could as the “enemy” watched the snowball in flight, the rest of us would throw fastballs hoping to drill them while they admired the lofty toss.
So mix in the lack of blue chip talent, with the plethora of similarly graded players with all of the smoke and mirror deception and this year’s mock drafts promise to be among the most wigged out mocks ever.
For you know what and giggles, I’ve decided to list the 2012 mock drafts of some well known mockers and then match them up. Even funnier is how each of these mock draft GM’s have a few versions of their mocks even though not a down of football has been played while they’ve shifted their draft boards.
Sure I get that they are just trying to factor in the combines, how teams have augmented their rosters through free agency, the reported results of the individual workouts and the rumored visits by draft eligible players to various teams that sometimes never even happen.
Maybe they should do just one mock after all that kicked up draft dust has settled, don’t you think?
In the comparison below, the players in green represent players that a “mocker” nailed right on the nose (although let’s be real here…EVERYONE knew the first 2 picks); those in red represent players who were picked to go in Round 1 by the mockers but never did; the players in blue were those selected in the first round that none of the mockers projected.
So in total of the 96 mock picks, the mockers hit on 14 (14.6%), 6 of which were gimmies. They made 11 (11.5%) picks that never landed on the day 1 draft board; 4 players were picked that none of the mockers had on their boards (4.2%). In other words, the number of players they all missed on plus the number of players they picked that were ignored by all 32 teams, added up to more than those they hit on even with the gimmies.