Offense Lifts Schaub

Filmstudy Offense Lifts Schaub

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The offensive line and skill players could not have done any more to make Matt Schaub comfortable in his first start on 2015.

Schaub had ATS on 15 of 34 dropbacks (44%). Results by ATS: Screen Shot 2015-12-04 at 8.24.12 PM

Summarizing relative to expectation:

Screen Shot 2015-12-04 at 8.24.20 PM

A fair amount of the credit for his good numbers relative to opportunity set must go to the line and skill position players. The line gets credit, because they did not allow any sacks and only 1 QH among the pressure events. Among the skill-position players, Butler (Q3, 8:21, and Q4, 1:39), Givens (Q2, 11:27), and Aiken (Q4, 11:42 and Q4, 10:02) all caught passes which were off target (3 underthrown and 2 low) for a total of 109 yards. Even with a decent set of results, Schaub’s lack of arm strength was on full display.

The Ravens had just 57 scored snaps (excludes penalties).

Hurst: James had his best career game. He allowed a pressure to Kruger (Q4, 10:02) on which Schaub was contacted before the throw, but Aiken collected it anyway for a gain of 27. He also allowed a share of pressure when he failed to maintain a block on Bryant or pick up the blitzing Williams (Q1, 4:31). He didn’t have any blocks in level 2, pancakes, or starred blocks.

Scoring: 57 plays, 52 blocks, 3 missed, 1.5 pressures, 49 points (.86 per play). With adjustment, that’s an A. Aside from his contribution to Flacco’s injury versus the Rams, he’s played well over the last 2 games.

Jensen: Ryan improved significantly, despite a holding flag. He continued to block Dansby past the whistle (Q1, 13:19), drawing a retaliatory slap to the helmet to go with jawing from Dansby and Robertson. If an offensive lineman can keep his cool, it’s a good thing when he can get his assignment upset with physicality. On the Ravens next drive (Q1, 5:14), he pancaked Dansby with a shove at the whistle. On the coaches film it appears the official has words with him after the play. Jensen would finish with 3 star blocks, 2 pancakes, and 4 blocks in level 2. His holding penalty on Shelton negated a 7-yard gain by West (Q4, 10:29). On the final drive against the Rams, Ryan allowed a share of the QH that sent Flacco to IR. This week, on the Ravens final offensive play, he allowed a share of the QH on Schaub’s 2nd INT (Q4, 0:55).

Scoring: 57 plays, 54 blocks, 2 missed, 1 pressure, 1/3 QH, 1 holding, 46 points (.79 per play). With adjustment, that’s a C.

Urschel: John had the worst game among the starters. Centers have fewer pass-blocking failures, in part because assignments begin with them. He failed to pick up the blitzing Dansby after handing off Hughes (Q2, 3:55) and was shed by Shelton for a pressure (Q3, 6:19). He was also driven back by Shelton to blow up Allen’s run left (Q2, 10:40). He had 3 blocks in level 2, 1 pancake and 1 starred block.

Scoring: 57 plays, 48 blocks, 5 missed, 1 penetration, 2 pressures, 1/3 QH, 41 points (.72 per play). With adjustment, that’s still 2 points short of passing at Center, F. At least his shotgun snap problems seem to be a thing of the past.

Yanda: I did not score Marshal with a single negative event in either the pass or run game. He had 3 blocks in level 2. His highlight came on Allen’s 12-yard run (Q4, 7:33) when he pulled right to block Dansby and then continued to push Dansby on the pile for extra yardage. After Bryant beat Wagner inside (Q4. 9:13), Yanda avoided a big hit on Schaub by pushing the Browns rusher narrowly to the outside.

Scoring: 57 plays, 53 blocks, 4 missed, 53 points (.93 per play). That’s an A before or after adjustment, continuing an All-Pro season. PFF changed football significantly over the last few years. I was a guest on a Houston radio show in 2011 on which I opined Yanda was the best guard in football. My old broadcast partner Charlie Pallilo, gave me a quipped “ohh…do tell,” meaning he didn’t think I had any basis for the claim. Thanks primarily to the relativity provided by PFF, there are very few informed fans who would consider the claim an exaggeration, and it would be based on data from this season (or last), rather than simply accumulation of Pro Bowls.

Wagner: Rick had his worst game since Week 3. He was twice beaten inside by Armonty Bryant for pressure (Q3, 10:15 and Q4, 9:13). He was bulled by Kruger which contributed to the QH and interception by Schaub on the Ravens last offensive snap (Q4, 0:55). He had 3 blocks in level 2 and 1 highlight.

Scoring: 57 plays, 47 blocks, 5 missed, 1 penetration, 3 pressures, 1/3 QH, 38 points (.67 per play). That’s a C- with adjustment.

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Ken McKusick

About Ken McKusick

Known as “Filmstudy” from his handle on area message boards, Ken is a lifelong Baltimorean and rabid fan of Baltimore sports. He grew up within walking distance of Memorial Stadium and attended all but a handful of Orioles games from 1979 through 2001. He got his start in sports modeling with baseball in the mid 1980’s. He began writing about the Ravens in 2006 and maintains a library of video for every game the team has played. He’s a graduate of Syracuse with degrees in Broadcast Journalism and Math who recently retired from his actuarial career to pursue his passion as a football analyst full time. If you have math or modeling questions related to sports or gambling, Ken is always interested in hearing new problems or ideas. He can be reached by email at [email protected] or followed on Twitter @filmstudyravens. More from Ken McKusick


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