You know, after watching the Cuse/WVU game...I'm not so sure how a team could be sold on Geno Smith as the #1 overall pick.
Someone is going to be severely disappointed if they think that they are going to take Geno #1 overall and he's going to perform like RGIII has for the Skins or Luck for the Colts. Geno is good...but he isn't anywhere near the product that Luck and RGIII were.
I've been saying all along that people are underrating how much of a need free safety is for this team. I really don't see Ed Reed being back--the team's not going to sign him for the kind of money he'll want, and if they try to franchise him I think he would just retire--then maybe try to come back for 2014.
Inside linebacker isn't a big priority at this point presuming they can resign Ellerbe... which I think they can do. Next to him will be either Jameel or Ray (in the unlikely event Ray comes back) and they have Bynes as a quality reserve. They could still use depth at the position but they don't need to use early picks for that.
At DE/DT, Ngata isn't going anywhere and should be better next year. Art Jones is probably only going to get better, McPhee is starting to come all the way back, and Bryan Hall and DeAngelo Tyson are showing flashes. If they can get an elite pass-rushing DE/DT then sure go for it, but the only REAL need on the DL is NT and they can upgrade that position on the cheap.
The real glaring spot is free safety. They just don't have anybody who can start at the position next year and they don't even actually have any depth. Ihedigbo, Considine, and Cook are all FAs. Omar Brown is maybe a good 3rd safety or dime back type player. They realistically need to get 2 more safeties somehow for 2013--a starting FS and a 4th safety who can play special teams.
Spending a 1st round pick on Matt Elam or (if we're lucky and he falls for some reason) Kenny Vaccaro would be a great investment. Those are the 2 guys that I see as definite day-one starters at the position in this draft. After that, you're probably looking at Phillip Thomas or Tony Jefferson in the 2nd, both prospects I like a lot but I'm not sure they're day 1 starters. I don't really like Eric Reid a lot as a prospect but I need to watch his tape more. I seem to recall him getting burned every time he played single high safety and we need a safety who plays smart and covers a lot of ground in Cover-1.
I still think he is a potential franchise QB, but he isn't #1 overall material. A #1 overall QB is a guy that will be asked to come into a bad team without a lot of weapons and really elevate everyone's play, and Gino isn't that. If I were Kansas City, I would love to trade down and get him still in the top 10, but now adding an extra pick or two to surround him with another receiver or lineman. If I were Scott Pioli, I would trade down a few spots and grab Gino, then get to work spending all that excess cap space KC has.
Re-sign Branden Albert, sign Greg Jennings, use the 3rd you got for trading down to grab Stedman Bailey... now you've surrounded your QB with some weapons and protection to make sure he doesn't bust. I'd also go out and upgrade on their coaching staff, bring in an offensive guru who knows how to work with a young QB... maybe Jay Gruden?
Top on that list for me is Kenny Phillips... young, instinctive, rangy free safety who is good in every facet of the game with All-Pro upside. He probably wouldn't even be on the market if not for the injury concerns... which could make him attainable. That would be a high-risk, high-reward move. On the DL, I'd like to see them get Terrence Knighton. He fits both the 3-4 and 4-3 and stops the run at a high level and his weight issues/falling out of favor in Jacksonville could keep him cheap.
Of the two, Knighton is probably the more likely possibility and I would welcome that. I just think if they can go into the draft with at least ONE defensive need taken care of they'll have much more flexibility to move around in the draft.
From CollegeFootballTalk.com via Rotoworld.com
BYU junior OLB Kyle Van Noy will return for his senior season.
The decision is somewhat unexpected after Van Noy's ridiculous bowl game performance, but we aren't worried about the junior playing at the same level he exhibited this year in 2013. He won't have Ziggy Ansah playing in front of him, but Van Noy is an aggressive pass rusher that flashes comfort in space. We expect Van Noy to be projected as a first-round pick heading into the 2013 season.
In this kids case maybe he feel another year will solidify his first round standing as opposed to being on the fringes. That can be significant amount of money beyond whatever other motivations there could be
DeAndre Hopkins might have made himself a lot of money tonight. I was hoping he'd be in play for the Ravens' 2nd rounder, but now he might be in play for their first.
I actually think that Ihedibo would be a good FS here and I doubt that he will garner anything close to three million. Re-sign Ihedibo, develop Christian Thompson and draft a can't miss guy if he falls to you at any point in the draft.
There will be some LTs out there as well. Jake Long might be less expensive, given his injury, but expensive nonetheless. Brandon Albert will be out there, as will Ryan Clady.