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  1. #1

    Super Bowl Odds...2014



    49ers the favorites to win it all.
    Of course they were the favorites to win the game 2 months ago too!




    At least according to bovada.com:


    San Francisco 49ers
    6/1

    Denver Broncos
    15/2

    New England Patriots
    8/1

    Seattle Seahawks
    9/1

    Atlanta Falcons
    12/1

    Green Bay Packers
    12/1

    Houston Texans
    18/1

    New Orleans Saints
    18/1

    Baltimore Ravens
    20/1

    New York Giants
    20/1

    Chicago Bears
    25/1

    Pittsburgh Steelers
    25/1

    Dallas Cowboys
    28/1

    Washington Redskins
    28/1

    Philadelphia Eagles
    30/1

    Cincinnati Bengals
    35/1

    Indianapolis Colts
    35/1

    Detroit Lions
    40/1

    Miami Dolphins
    40/1

    Minnesota Vikings
    40/1

    San Diego Chargers
    40/1

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    40/1

    Carolina Panthers
    50/1

    Kansas City Chiefs
    50/1

    St. Louis Rams
    60/1

    Cleveland Browns
    75/1

    New York Jets
    75/1

    Arizona Cardinals
    100/1

    Buffalo Bills
    100/1

    Oakland Raiders
    100/1

    Tennessee Titans
    100/1

    Jacksonville Jaguars
    200/1




  2. #2

    Re: Super Bowl Odds...2014

    We see a dumb list around this time every year.

    Do lists like these exist for any purpose OTHER than being proved categorically wrong in a few months?
    Thoughts on Ray Rice: http://brafootball.wordpress.com/




  3. #3
    Join Date
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    I'm kinda surprised the Ravens aren't lower considering the players they lost, especially Ray and Ed. BTW, I'm in San Fran and they have NFC Champion shirts cheap if anyone wants one
    World Domination 3 Points at a Time!




  4. #4

    Re: Super Bowl Odds...2014

    San Fran and Denver are the sexy choices...just like they were at the start of the 2012 playoffs

    Both teams have seemingly loaded up this offseason, but both are not without questions and weaknesses. I think it's fair to predict division winners, but the playoffs themselves have proven to be somewhat of a total crapshoot any more.

    If I had to predict the playoff teams now, I'd have:

    AFCW - Denver
    AFCE - New England
    AFCN - Baltimore
    AFCS - Houston
    WC - Indianapolis
    WC - San Diego

    NFCW - San Francisco
    NFCE - New York
    NFCN - Green Bay
    NFCS - New Orleans
    WC - Atlanta
    WC - Seattle




  5. #5

    Re: Super Bowl Odds...2014

    I'm still pissed at myself for being so lazy and not finding a bookie the week before the Colts game. I was about to put down $50 for us to win it at awesome odds (I forget what it was but it was I believe 24-1). Online gambling is almost impossible and I'm out $2,000 . I'd take the Super Bowl win over the money anyday though!

    I could care less what Vegas says about us...it's actually better that they doubt us...gives us better odds and an easier chance to win $$$!!!




  6. #6
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Location
    London, England
    Posts
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    Blog Entries
    1

    Re: Super Bowl Odds...2014

    Yes i realised this and put 20 on the ravens to win the superbowl at 20/1 which i thought was ridiculous! Imagne being 9th most likely team to win the SB. I worked out there are huge benefits in everyone thinking we are not that good cause we're a small market unfashionable team

    I too could care less what bookies and 'experts' say about us esp when it contributes to great odds.

    I was surprised to see that we have been the same since before dumervil signed, i would have thought player turnover and draft weekend performance would have an effect on the odds, i decided to put s on after we lost all the UFAs before making the under the radar moves thinking that was the best price I could ever get... But prices remain the same, whiich is surprising given that the ravens were a skeleton of a team at the time and now 'look' much more of a 'contender'




  7. #7
    Join Date
    Aug 2006
    Location
    Back in Limeyland
    Posts
    775

    Re: Super Bowl Odds...2014

    I'm going to lump 30 on the Ravens at 20/1 on my ladbrokes.com account, then transfer the rest of the money I made on us v the Pats and in the Super Bowl and on the Grand National this year back into my bank account before I gamble it all away again on something stupid like Newcastle staying up.

    And unlike the guys above me, I couldn't care less about what bookies and 'experts' think.




  8. #8
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    Houston, TX Y'all
    Posts
    22,036
    You can't look at Vegas odds as a slight to a team or props for a team.

    Lines are not generated to show how good or bad any one team will be.

    Lines are generated to make money on both ends. Nothing more.
    WARNING: This post may contain material offensive to those who lack wit, humor, common sense and/or supporting factual or anecdotal evidence. All statements and assertions contained herein may be subject to literary devices not limited to: irony, metaphor, allusion and dripping sarcasm.




  9. #9
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Location
    Wilton, CT
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    Re: Super Bowl Odds...2014

    Quote Originally Posted by akashicrecorder View Post
    We see a dumb list around this time every year.

    Do lists like these exist for any purpose OTHER than being proved categorically wrong in a few months?
    They exist so people can bet. If you believe that it's wrong then use it to make some money
    He Who Dares.....Wins




  10. #10

    Re: Super Bowl Odds...2014

    I pretty much agree with alien race's prognostigations. Maybe trade Cincinati for SD, but that is just splitting hairs. Not sure who will come out of the NFC South, but I would also pick NO over Atlanta. Will be curious to see how injuries impact this, but right now there is a fairly clear delineation between the haves and have nots.




  11. #11
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
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    Re: Super Bowl Odds...2014

    Quote Originally Posted by alienrace View Post
    San Fran and Denver are the sexy choices...just like they were at the start of the 2012 playoffs

    Both teams have seemingly loaded up this offseason, but both are not without questions and weaknesses. I think it's fair to predict division winners, but the playoffs themselves have proven to be somewhat of a total crapshoot any more.

    If I had to predict the playoff teams now, I'd have:

    AFCW - Denver
    AFCE - New England
    AFCN - Baltimore
    AFCS - Houston
    WC - Indianapolis
    WC - San Diego

    NFCW - San Francisco
    NFCE - New York
    NFCN - Green Bay
    NFCS - New Orleans
    WC - Atlanta
    WC - Seattle
    9 of the same 12 teams from last year is very high. Usually there is a 50% turnover. That doesn't mean it can't happen but at this point I think it's just too early to predict.
    He Who Dares.....Wins




  12. #12

    Re: Super Bowl Odds...2014

    Quote Originally Posted by HoustonRaven View Post
    You can't look at Vegas odds as a slight to a team or props for a team.

    Lines are not generated to show how good or bad any one team will be.

    Lines are generated to make money on both ends. Nothing more.
    Exactly right. You can't confuse the "odds" from Vegas with a "probability". Probability is a factor in those odds, but more importantly is spreading the wagering around. The book knows that a lot of people will pick San Fran, Denver, New England with relatively low odds. To get some people to put money down on Houston, New Orleans, Baltimore, NYG they know they have to give better odds. Even though the probability of any of those 4 teams is much closer to the probability of the first 4.




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