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  1. #1

    Question What are realistic season stats for McNair?



    Here are his avges for the last 3 seasons. In 2004 he missed several games, but none the less he could get hurt this year so I included that year in the final average:

    McNair 3 year avgs: 2003 - 2005
    YEAR Yrds / Cmp %./ YPA / TD / INT / Rate
    2003: 3215 / 62.5 / 8.04 / 24 / 7 / 100.4
    2004: 1343 / 60.0 / 6.25 / 8 / 9 / 73.1
    2005: 3161 / 61.3 / 6.64 / 16 / 11 / 82.4

    AVG: 2573 / 61.3 / 6.98 / 16 / 9 / 85.3

    I am hoping for better than avg year from SM this year, but those numbers above would be far better than what we had w/ Boller/Wright over the same time period.

    Thoughts?

    FM




  2. #2

    Arrow Re: What are realistic season stats for McNair?

    If he continues to throw only the little 5 yarders to Heap and Mason and dumpffs to the RBs, I expect to see his overall rating in the 85-90 range, YPA around 5.5 to 6, completion % in 65-70% range. Because it's the Ravens, expect about only a dozen TD passes. Based on preseason performance to date, I would also expect a dozen interceptions, but more likely he will shake that tendency and wind up with only 8 to 10.





  3. #3
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    Re: What are realistic season stats for McNair?

    Realistics stats?

    10-6, maybe 11-5.


    WORLD CHAMPIONS 2000 * 2012




  4. #4
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    Re: What are realistic season stats for McNair?

    Based on the Ravens profile, I would expect his numbers to be lower than his recent averages. He is basically going to be handing the ball off to Jamal, and doing little third down dumpoffs (hopefully not 4 yards short of what we need to convert). A few mid range passes to pull some defenders out of the box, I don't expect us to become a big passing team. I figure his TD count will be down and his interceptions will be up a little.




  5. #5
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    Re: What are realistic season stats for McNair?

    Stats I care about from McNair this year:

    - Wins
    - Third down conversion percentage
    - Yards on first down

    That's the most obvious improvements I can think of this year.




  6. #6
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    Re: What are realistic season stats for McNair?

    I would say maybe 17 TD's and 9 INTS. I think we will see McNair throw deeper passes once the real playbook is used, but the Offense will still be centered around the running game.




  7. #7

    Re: What are realistic season stats for McNair?

    Quote Originally Posted by Mista T
    If he continues to throw only the little 5 yarders to Heap and Mason and dumpffs to the RBs, I expect to see his overall rating in the 85-90 range, YPA around 5.5 to 6, completion % in 65-70% range. Because it's the Ravens, expect about only a dozen TD passes. Based on preseason performance to date, I would also expect a dozen interceptions, but more likely he will shake that tendency and wind up with only 8 to 10.


    Careful T, that was a borderline pro-McNair post.


    I expect 3000 yards or so, maybe more if he finds his groove with Heap and Clayton. 16-18TDs and 11 or 12 picks. The numbers are consistant with what he has put up in the recent past and if the OL can give a few seconds to look things over, there isn't a secondary in the league he can't score on.




  8. #8
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    Re: What are realistic season stats for McNair?

    I would hazzard a guess at.

    2500yds-2800yds 14-18 TD's, 9-13 Int's.

    Whatever the stats just get us the "W" Steve.
    Put the smile back on your face.This is a 60 minute ball game.




  9. #9

    Re: What are realistic season stats for McNair?

    Careful T, that was a borderline pro-McNair post.
    I'm neither pro or anti any individual player. I'm supportive of whoever is playing. If McNair has a good year and helps the Ravens win, I guess you could say I am pro-McNair. If he's benched and Boller comes in, I'm pro-Boller. And ditto St. Pierre. I know that's a difficult concept for some to understand, but that's the way I feel.

    BTW: if McNair fucks up: get his ass out of here, lick the financial wounds, and try, try again to find someone who can fill Bert Jones' shoes.
    Last edited by Mista T; 08-31-2006 at 01:51 PM.




  10. #10

    Re: What are realistic season stats for McNair?

    What's the big fascination w/ Bert Jones? Did he ever go to a Probowl? I know he never went to a SuperBowl.

    Half of his passes were little screen passes to the RBs.

    FM




  11. #11
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    Re: What are realistic season stats for McNair?

    What's the big fascination w/ Bert Jones? Did he ever go to a Probowl?
    Well, he was the first QB to end a full season with a QB rating over 100 (102.5).
    1976 was the AP MVP and NFL Offensive player of the year.
    1976 Pro Bowler.
    All Pro in 1976, 2nd team in 1977.

    Despite your assertion that half his passes were screens to RBs, had a ridiculously high 9.04 yards per pass attempt in 1976.

    And he was the most obvious reason the Colts went from last place in 1974 to first in 1975. When he went down in 1978 the Colts went from 3 straight first place finishes to a 5 win season.

    If you ever saw him throw a ball you would understand. He could throw it through a brick wall from 40 yards away and tell you which brick he would hit beforehand.




  12. #12
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    Re: What are realistic season stats for McNair?

    What's the big fascination w/ Bert Jones? Did he ever go to a Probowl? I know he never went to a SuperBowl.
    I was extremely young when the Colts were in Baltimore, but from what I have heard Bert Jones was probably the best QB Baltimore has had since Johnny U.

    (I hope McNair can fill that role instead )




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