Predict Ravens record

**Beau Petard** · 07-30-2011, 12:58 PM

Welp, I've been nosing around a bunch of threads, and I think it just might be time for a thread to put our predictions where our worries are! (How's THAT for a mangled adage?

)

For the benefit of anyone who gives a flying rat's petard, or is unfamiliar with what I used to do on the SunSpot Forum, here's the deal --

Many (most? all?) of us have pretty strong feelings about how well the Ravens will do. It seems to me that the perception(s) we have of the team and its eventual success or failure often get motivated by a "What happened lately?" view of the team's activities. Dab's "Are we better or worse" thread hit me like a Bert Jones pass over the middle into my forehead that it's time to document for posterity (or posteriors) the current thinking on how well the Ravens will do in the upcoming 2011-2012 season.

More of the deal -- I want to get predictions on what everyone thinks the Ravens regular season record will be for this season. I'll start another thread like this one AFTER training camp is over and before the 1st regular season game, asking again for predictions.

Benefits of these threads -- At the very least, it offers a chance to look back during the season when a "fight" breaks out in a thread, where someone posts that the NEVER said the Ravens wouldn't win (or lose) x number of games. It's useful when a potser says "I TOLD ya so!" and we can check back to see what was said. IMHO, it's also instructive to see how opinions change (or not) as the roster changes, as the FA's get signed (or not), as the injuries occur (or not) and the Next Man has to stand up, etc.

So, the rules--
1) Post your prediction for the Ravens for 2011-2012 REGULAR season.

2) Please make a single prediction - it's difficult to summarize when I get "between 8 and 12 wins".

Plus, that doesn't tell me much.

3) That being said, please feel free to add comments or extra conditions, post-season predictions, etc.

4) Do NOT "edit" your predictions. Some may actually think that you waffled on your initial guess and went back after the fact just to make your prediction look good.

If you do want to change your guess, just make a second post with any update(s).

I'll create a Word file with the summarized results, and make it (or the results) available throughout the year or on request.

Have fun, and GO RAVENS!!

**MachineJerk** · 07-30-2011, 01:01 PM

Hey BP! it's SUJ - I don't smoke anymore, so a new handle was in order.

9-7 wildcard

mediocre start builds to an exciting playoff push.

**Corey** · 07-30-2011, 01:06 PM

Nothing has happened to change my perception of the team. We are a 10-12 win team again this year and I think the division is ours for the taking. As long as we stay healthy.

The only thing that worries me is Karma. Black Monday might create some bad Karma for us.

**edtude** · 07-30-2011, 01:17 PM

Originally Posted by MachineJerk

Hey BP! it's SUJ - I don't smoke anymore, so a new handle was in order.

9-7 wildcard

mediocre start builds to an exciting playoff push.

Congrats on quitting Johnny

**SC_Raven_Fan** · 08-01-2011, 08:48 AM

Originally Posted by MachineJerk

Hey BP! it's SUJ - I don't smoke anymore, so a new handle was in order.

9-7 wildcard

mediocre start builds to an exciting playoff push.

Hey man, congrats! I quit when my first child was born. Just couldn't look them in the eye and tell them not to smoke if I was doing it, too. She just turned 15!

This year is giving me heartburn, to be honest. Ed Dickson is gonna replace a guy who scored more TD's than anyone else in Ravens History! He was thrown to 24 times last year

and dropped an easy ball in a clutch game in January. I believe he's a balla, though.

It's Joe that worries me. His "blankies" are gone: Heap, Mason, Clayton. Can he adjust and get everyone the ball? Can he trust his teammates and inspire confidence in them? He only has one vet to throw to now. It's time for him to grow. Because it will be a growing season for the Flacmaster, I expect stupid losses.

9-7 (and that's being cheery and optimistic)

**Purpleguy** · 07-30-2011, 01:04 PM

I say they go 10-6 and make it to the wildcard round as a 6th seed (our Superbowl). There we will destroy whichever team wins the AFC West and then move on to the divisional round where we will somehow choke against the Steelers.

**BertJonesMyHero** · 07-30-2011, 01:23 PM

Originally Posted by Purpleguy

I say they go 10-6 and make it to the wildcard round as a 6th seed (our Superbowl). There we will destroy whichever team wins the AFC West and then move on to the divisional round where we will somehow choke against the Steelers.

Wow was that fucking depressing.

**MachineJerk** · 07-30-2011, 01:27 PM

Originally Posted by BertJonesMyHero

Wow was that fucking depressing.

lol.

**JMUpurkfool** · 07-30-2011, 01:09 PM

12-4.

Our schedule is pretty weak and I think Flacco is gonna be really good this year.

Ozzie will fill this roster up.

**Beau Petard** · 07-30-2011, 01:16 PM

SUJ--
Welcome to the Show! (even though you've got more posts than I!

)

I hope you and the rest of the crazies here find this exercise useful. I've found the Pre-1st regular season set of guesses has been generally very accurate.

BTW, congrats on your cessation. Here's hoping it leads to better health for you!

**MachineJerk** · 07-30-2011, 01:20 PM

Originally Posted by Beau Petard

SUJ--
Welcome to the Show! (even though you've got more posts than I!

)

I hope you and the rest of the crazies here find this exercise useful. I've found the Pre-1st regular season set of guesses has been generally very accurate.

BTW, congrats on your cessation. Here's hoping it leads to better health for you!

Thank you kind sir, it'll be 2 years off of them in Nov. after 30 years on. And a hearty welcome to you as well.

always have found these very fun & informative - no changing your tune when it's posted in pixels! I always like to go back & read the reasoning more than the numbers 'cause the season always plays out in a unique way.

Originally Posted by edtude

Congrats on quitting Johnny

Thank you! 40 years old & 2 sons under 5 years old makes a man change some things...and welcome as well Ed

**edtude** · 07-30-2011, 01:21 PM

Oh 11-5 regular season record. Deep run into the playoffs where the Superbowl participant will be decided against either the Steelers, Jets or Pats. Today I am leaning towards the Steelers cause I am not so sure how the morale of the Jets will be affected by the whole Nnamdi thing and I think Fat Albert can screw up even the Pats.

**Dont Know** · 07-30-2011, 01:23 PM

11-5

**Strange Bru** · 07-30-2011, 02:11 PM

Steelers - W
@ Titans - W
@ Rams - W
Jets - L
bye
Texans - W
@ Jaguars - W
Cardinals (game vs Todd Heap's new team) - W
@ Steelers - L (I always predict the Ravens spilt with the Steelers)
@ Seahawks - W
Bengals - W
49ers - W
@ Browns - L (I always predict a split with the Browns also)
Colts - L (only because I think I may have too many W's on this list already)
@ Chargers - W (many say the Steelers have our number, I think the Ravens have their number)
Browns - W
@ Bengals - W (too much turn over to say that they will split this year)

That is 12-4, which may be too homerific, but I like the chances based on the teams the Ravens play this year. This is also based on the Ravens not getting bit by the injury bug. I also think that the Ravens will win the AFC North and be the only team from the AFC North to make the playoffs, AFC South and East providing the wildcard teams.

I know it was just supposed to be one prediction, but I couldn't help myself.

**Dragz** · 07-30-2011, 02:18 PM

11-5

**pyite32** · 07-30-2011, 04:27 PM

This is assuming we do nothing else in FA, I will post again at the end of FA with adjustments

Steelers - L
@ Titans - W
@ Rams - W
Jets - L
Texans - L
@ Jaguars - W
Cardinals - W
@ Steelers - L
@ Seahawks - W
Bengals - W
49ers - W
@ Browns - W
Colts - L
@ Chargers - L
Browns - W
@ Bengals - W

That makes us 10 - 6 which may or may not get us in the post season based on the past two years of AFC wild card records. I also think there is a very good chance for another L in there somewhere but can't place where. With all the youth I am sure there will be a game where there are a lot of rookie non-clutch moments late to lose it for us.

**JMUpurkfool** · 07-31-2011, 08:18 PM

Originally Posted by pyite32

This is assuming we do nothing else in FA, I will post again at the end of FA with adjustments

Steelers - L
@ Titans - W
@ Rams - W
Jets - L
Texans - L
@ Jaguars - W
Cardinals - W
@ Steelers - L
@ Seahawks - W
Bengals - W
49ers - W
@ Browns - W
Colts - L
@ Chargers - L
Browns - W
@ Bengals - W

That makes us 10 - 6 which may or may not get us in the post season based on the past two years of AFC wild card records. I also think there is a very good chance for another L in there somewhere but can't place where. With all the youth I am sure there will be a game where there are a lot of rookie non-clutch moments late to lose it for us.

So were gonna lose to every playoff team on the schedule... I'll believe it when I see it.

**Beau Petard** · 07-30-2011, 02:29 PM

SB--
No problem. I recall a few seasons when it was much easier to look at every game and make a call, then add up the W's and L's, than to try and make an overall prediction off the top of one's tete! When you start looking at specific opponents, time of year you play them and where (hot v. cold weather, outdoors v. dome, home v. away, early season v. late, etc), and so forth, it often helps to shed more light on how the team will fare overall.

Bert-
Can I get an "Amen!" and a prediction?

**ctulb** · 07-30-2011, 02:43 PM

11-5, one very disappointing loss on the road away from winning the division. Still good enough for the wildcard, again a big win on the road against the AFC West's representative, and who knows from there, depends on the opponents. We have a good chance at a deep run if everyone can stay healthy.