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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
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    Towson
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    I thought Rich Eisen was smarter than this...



    He just said it's never before happened before that the home team has won all 8 games in the WC and Division round, so the odds are (paraphrasing) either the Texans or Giants will win.

    This is a case where the statement is might be true, but for completely the wrong reasons. If the Packers and Ravens each had a 70% chance to win, the chance of both winning would be 49%, but it doesn't have anything to do with the results of the other 6 games.

    BTW, I have not seen any book offering this wager, but if you do want to bet that either or both of the Texans or Giants will win, the odds implied by the individual games, say that's about a 44% chance.





  2. #2

    Re: I thought Rich Eisen was smarter than this...

    Quote Originally Posted by Filmstudy View Post
    He just said it's never before happened before that the home team has won all 8 games in the WC and Division round, so the odds are (paraphrasing) either the Texans or Giants will win.

    This is a case where the statement is might be true, but for completely the wrong reasons. If the Packers and Ravens each had a 70% chance to win, the chance of both winning would be 49%, but it doesn't have anything to do with the results of the other 6 games.

    BTW, I have not seen any book offering this wager, but if you do want to bet that either or both of the Texans or Giants will win, the odds implied by the individual games, say that's about a 44% chance.
    Most people have a terrible understanding of statistics: "It came up black 6 times in a row - so it's MUCH more likely to come up red this time, right?" Ahh, no.




  3. #3
    Join Date
    Jun 2011
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    In a van down by the rivah
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    754

    Re: I thought Rich Eisen was smarter than this...

    Come on you guys, don't you know it's really hard to beat a team three times?

    Even after you've already beaten them twice?




  4. #4

    Re: I thought Rich Eisen was smarter than this...

    I think Rich Eisen is just trying to spark up a topic.

    Anyway, laws of probability do come into play. At some point it is likely to go the other way even though each individual game is not likely to. Did that make any sense?




  5. #5
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
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    Wilton, CT
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    Re: I thought Rich Eisen was smarter than this...

    Eisen is just another talking head. He's good at it but the man is there more for his one liners than his knowledge of the game.
    He Who Dares.....Wins




  6. #6

    Re: I thought Rich Eisen was smarter than this...

    Eisen knows the truth, that the Texans will win CONVINCINGLY today.




  7. #7
    Join Date
    Jan 2012
    Location
    Cockeysville, MD
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    3,075

    Re: I thought Rich Eisen was smarter than this...

    Quote Originally Posted by Texans Messiah View Post
    Eisen knows the truth, that the Texans will win CONVINCINGLY today.
    I'll have what you're having. You're obviously high. Or drunk. Or both.




  8. #8
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
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    Central Baltimore
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    Re: I thought Rich Eisen was smarter than this...

    Looks like we have a troll who is going to be spreading shit on all the threads throughout the game.
    "A lot" is a two word expression denoting a great deal or greatly, as in "I like sunshine a lot." "Alot" is a lovable imaginary grammar monster. You can love a lot; you can love an alot; you can love alots a lot; but they are not the same thing.




  9. #9
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
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    1,959
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    Re: I thought Rich Eisen was smarter than this...

    Quote Originally Posted by Texans Messiah View Post
    Eisen knows the truth, that the Texans will win CONVINCINGLY today.
    Yeah, a convincing MORAL victory! How about some sobering realism that will pin them to the ground? In the long run, the Texans and their fans shall benefit in the great game of life.




  10. #10

    Re: I thought Rich Eisen was smarter than this...

    Come on Houston. Teams don't win the Superbowl the first time they make the playoffs.

    Well, the Ravens did, but that's different.




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