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  1. #25

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots



    I have no idea. Literally, not even one small inkling. Our corners minimize the damage of Welker and Branch while Pollard/Reed team up with the LBs to contain Gronk. We are going to have to get our hands on all of the receivers at the snap to disrupt the timing and Suggs needs to have a big game.

    If we win the turnover battle, we will win the game. If it's even, we lose a close game at the end.

    Ravens 31
    Pats 27




  2. #26

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    The Ravens average 24 pts./gm. Because we're playing a bad defense I'll give us another td and say we score 31 pts.

    New England averages 32 pts./gm. Because they're playing a good defense they'll get one less td and score 25 pts.

    Simple analysis but all it means is that we need to hold to form on offense and defense and we can win this game by a td. How we do it is up for discussion but being 1 td better than the norm is not an impossible task.

    I have complete confidence in asking a defense that gives up 16 pts./gm. to hold the Patriots to 25 pts. For me the the x factor is asking the offense to score 31 against a defense that gives up 290 yds passing/gm and 120 yds rushing/gm. If Flacco and Rice get those kind of numbers I think the offense gets their 31.
    Last edited by Sec545; 01-17-2012 at 04:35 PM.




  3. #27
    Americanmade2012 Guest

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    27-13 ravens




  4. #28
    Join Date
    Jun 2011
    Location
    Land of the crab-cake
    Posts
    668

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    Ravens 30
    Pats 27

    Billy Cundiff hits a 45 yard FG as time expires.
    90% of the game is half mental




  5. #29
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Location
    Olney, MD (Baltimore native)
    Posts
    250

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    The last four meetings:

    2007 Patriots 27-24 (pre-Harbaugh, at home)
    2009 Patriots 27-21 (road)
    2010 Ravens 33-14 (road, playoff)
    2010 Patriots 23-20 (road, OT)

    Combined scoring:

    Ravens 98
    Patriots 91

    Averaging:

    Ravens 24.50
    Patriots 22.75

    Result:

    BAL 24
    NE 23

    "Numbers don't lie." (Pythagoras)




  6. #30

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    ravens 27
    patriots 21

    reason: i'm a ravens fan/homer.




  7. #31

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    For most of us the confidence factor is not there simply because this is a "what have you done for me lately" league and we all know the ravens didn't play their best football. Rarely do you see two consecutive weeks of bad football. If we get back to ravens football (re-establising Ray Rice, winning the turnover battle, sound defense) we will win

    Ravens 27
    NE 20




  8. #32

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    The defense gives up yards, but tightens up in the red zone.

    Pats 28
    Ravens 24

    Quote Originally Posted by Sec545 View Post
    The Ravens average 24 pts./gm. Because we're playing a bad defense I'll give us another td and say we score 31 pts.

    New England averages 32 pts./gm. Because they're playing a good defense they'll get one less td and score 25 pts.

    Simple analysis but all it means is that we need to hold to form on offense and defense and we can win this game by a td. How we do it is up for discussion but being 1 td better than the norm is not an impossible task.

    I have complete confidence in asking a defense that gives up 16 pts./gm. to hold the Patriots to 25 pts. For me the the x factor is asking the offense to score 31 against a defense that gives up 290 yds passing/gm and 120 yds rushing/gm. If Flacco and Rice get those kind of numbers I think the offense gets their 31.




  9. #33

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    Something's gotta give. Brady passed for 39 touchdowns this year (though if I'm doing the math right, only 16 of those were in home games). He added SIX against a very suspect Denver defense. The Ravens allowed only 11 passing touchdowns all year, and by defensive passer rating were the best passing defense in football. Of those 11 allowed, only five were on the road. Additionally, the Ravens never gave up more than one passing TD in a game this year.

    I honestly think the Ravens secondary against Pats receivers is a win for us. I don't really know how well we match up against the Hernandez/Gronkowski duo. Our D-line against their O-line? The Pats gave up a total of 23 sacks in home games this year, in other words averaging almost three per game. I see us being able to pressure Brady.

    The Pats gave up an average of 19.25 ppg at home this year. However, that's skewed by only giving up 3 to the Chiefs and the offensive luminary known as Tyler Palko. They gave up 21 to the Jets, 24 to the Colts and Dolphins... think we can do better than that.

    Bottom line--I think Brady does pretty well, but not well enough. Ravens 30, Pats 24.




  10. #34
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Posts
    1,959
    Blog Entries
    1

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    Ravens 52 Patriots 16




  11. #35

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    Ravens 42
    The Brady's 28




  12. #36
    Join Date
    Dec 2011
    Location
    College Station, TX
    Posts
    721
    Blog Entries
    2

    Re: Predict AFC Championship Game: Ravens @ Patriots

    Quote Originally Posted by Sec545 View Post
    The Ravens average 24 pts./gm. Because we're playing a bad defense I'll give us another td and say we score 31 pts.

    New England averages 32 pts./gm. Because they're playing a good defense they'll get one less td and score 25 pts.

    Simple analysis but all it means is that we need to hold to form on offense and defense and we can win this game by a td. How we do it is up for discussion but being 1 td better than the norm is not an impossible task.

    I have complete confidence in asking a defense that gives up 16 pts./gm. to hold the Patriots to 25 pts. For me the the x factor is asking the offense to score 31 against a defense that gives up 290 yds passing/gm and 120 yds rushing/gm. If Flacco and Rice get those kind of numbers I think the offense gets their 31.
    A game like this is all about intangibles. It's about who the team of destiny is. Stats go out the window. Just remember the 2000 playoffs. If this is the Ravens year once again they will win it. If not, they won't. In any case, it's looking to me like it will be hard for anyone to beat either the Giants or San Francisco in SB, both are looking like the team of destiny right now. But this could change this Sunday.




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