But, as others have pointed out, it's all anecdotal. I am basing my opinion on the race on past elections. And while I freely admit the past does not always indicate what will happen in the future, I believe it to be the case this time. It's not one poll that's doing it for me, it's the polls as a collective. Not every poll is leaning left or inaccurate.
I just get the sense it's swaying toward Obama in the 11th hour. Does this mean Obama will win? Not necessarily, but history shows us it usually turns towards the incumbent.
Except the Ohio numbers are not anecdotal. They are real numbers. That is why I am not using poll numbers.
And history also suggests that undecideds break for the challenger.