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  1. #37
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    Re: RCP Electoral Map Thread



    While I do not share your disdain in the polls in general, that new CBS / NYT Poll does seem suspect.

    I don't buy a 10 point lead in Ohio and that poll seems to have skewed the average up quite a bit.
    WARNING: This post may contain material offensive to those who lack wit, humor, common sense and/or supporting factual or anecdotal evidence. All statements and assertions contained herein may be subject to literary devices not limited to: irony, metaphor, allusion and dripping sarcasm.




  2. #38
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    Re: RCP Electoral Map Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by HoustonRaven View Post
    While I do not share your disdain in the polls in general, that new CBS / NYT Poll does seem suspect.

    I don't buy a 10 point lead in Ohio and that poll seems to have skewed the average up quite a bit.
    Same with a 14 point lead in Wisconsin.

    I've been reading a lot on polling methodology lately, Rasmussen is the only that will hold any water with me from here on out. And I stress any, because they have a pretty small sample size.
    We are all born ignorant, but one must work hard to remain stupid. - Benjamin Franklin




  3. #39
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    Re: RCP Electoral Map Thread

    A guy was on TV this morning, I didn't get his name, but he said don't pay attention to them because it's
    mostly the media pimping their favs and they're so skewed with unlikely voters. He said you really have to
    average them all out.

    He had Florida even which Mitt must have to win and Ohio was even too.

    So don't believe all these big leads for OBY.

    Bottom line, with the margin of error, it's a dead heat but someone will rise after the debates. That is
    where Mitt must shine and when the rest of the undecideds will make up their minds.
    Pic of a natural act: UBER RAVENS FAN AND HISTORIAN GURU. THE PAST IS NOT DEAD, IN FACT, IT IS NOT EVEN PAST.' WILLIAM FAULKNER.




  4. #40
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    Re: RCP Electoral Map Thread

    OBY only needs 5 more elect votes to win according to this
    latest real clear map. Ohio is in the light blue but Florida is
    still up for grabs.

    Even Rasmussen has OBY up by +2 in the general polls as
    every poll on this site has OBY up by at least +2, some
    more.


    Amazing, completely amazing.


    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...llege_map.html
    Pic of a natural act: UBER RAVENS FAN AND HISTORIAN GURU. THE PAST IS NOT DEAD, IN FACT, IT IS NOT EVEN PAST.' WILLIAM FAULKNER.




  5. #41
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    Re: RCP Electoral Map Thread

    No change in status of the toss ups, but they polls are showing all the states are tightening or Romney opening a lead.

    I've said it before, I wasn't buying the polls (doesn't mean I was right) so I wonder if they're getting accurate now for credibility or the debate made that much of a difference. Maybe both?

    http://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
    We are all born ignorant, but one must work hard to remain stupid. - Benjamin Franklin




  6. #42
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    A second debate success is crucial for both candidates. This may very well sway the election one way of the other.

    And not to beat a dad horse, but damn, I wish now more than ever Mitt pounced after the healthcare ruling. This could be a blow out of epic proportions had he handled that better. Instead we still have a nail biter.
    WARNING: This post may contain material offensive to those who lack wit, humor, common sense and/or supporting factual or anecdotal evidence. All statements and assertions contained herein may be subject to literary devices not limited to: irony, metaphor, allusion and dripping sarcasm.




  7. #43
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    Re: RCP Electoral Map Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by HoustonRaven View Post
    A second debate success is crucial for both candidates. This may very well sway the election one way of the other.

    And not to beat a dad horse, but damn, I wish now more than ever Mitt pounced after the healthcare ruling. This could be a blow out of epic proportions had he handled that better. Instead we still have a nail biter.
    I just hope going forward he and Ryan bring it up more in the debates, ESPECIALLY the IPAB.
    We are all born ignorant, but one must work hard to remain stupid. - Benjamin Franklin




  8. #44
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    Re: RCP Electoral Map Thread

    Penn and Wisc have moved to toss up, though in Rasmussen he has BHO at 51% for both.

    I would also say keep an eye on Oregon and Minnesota.
    We are all born ignorant, but one must work hard to remain stupid. - Benjamin Franklin




  9. #45
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    Re: RCP Electoral Map Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by NCRAVEN View Post
    Penn and Wisc have moved to toss up, though in Rasmussen he has BHO at 51% for both.

    I would also say keep an eye on Oregon and Minnesota.
    You have a better chance of finding wild peacocks in your car tonight than Obama losing Oregon.
    WARNING: This post may contain material offensive to those who lack wit, humor, common sense and/or supporting factual or anecdotal evidence. All statements and assertions contained herein may be subject to literary devices not limited to: irony, metaphor, allusion and dripping sarcasm.




  10. #46
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    Re: RCP Electoral Map Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by HoustonRaven View Post
    You have a better chance of finding wild peacocks in your car tonight than Obama losing Oregon.
    I smell a wager...
    We are all born ignorant, but one must work hard to remain stupid. - Benjamin Franklin




  11. #47
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    Re: RCP Electoral Map Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by NCRAVEN View Post
    I smell a wager...
    It would be better if you simply drop whatever money you wish to wager on the ground and walk away.
    WARNING: This post may contain material offensive to those who lack wit, humor, common sense and/or supporting factual or anecdotal evidence. All statements and assertions contained herein may be subject to literary devices not limited to: irony, metaphor, allusion and dripping sarcasm.




  12. #48
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    Re: RCP Electoral Map Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by HoustonRaven View Post
    It would be better if you simply drop whatever money you wish to wager on the ground and walk away.
    Haha. To be fair, I said keep an eye on. I did not say he would win it.

    But, what little polling there has been has Obama only at 50%. He won it by 17 points, he also won states like Nev, Mich, Wis by 17 all are now toss-ups. So it's not inconceivable.
    We are all born ignorant, but one must work hard to remain stupid. - Benjamin Franklin




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