Election Day 2012 Thread

**NCRAVEN** · 11-06-2012, 11:45 AM

Originally Posted by HoustonRaven

Is that a particular state or nation wide?

Nationwide, I'd assume, it's on their home page on the right side.

**HoustonRaven** · 11-06-2012, 11:58 AM

Howard Dean says only way Mitt wins is through fraud.

Setting the stage for a defeat excuse perhaps?

**NCRAVEN** · 11-06-2012, 12:07 PM

Perhaps. Hard to tell with that loon.

**HoustonRaven** · 11-06-2012, 12:33 PM

More death threats from the tolerant, accepting left ....

http://twitchy.com/2012/11/06/death-...s-of-campaign/

**StingerNLG** · 11-06-2012, 12:36 PM

I think reality is starting to set in on the left.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mobile...b_2081881.html

Sent from my PC36100 using Tapatalk 2

**AirFlacco** · 11-06-2012, 12:37 PM

I just voted. I'm at the gym now but I just walked in and hardly anyone was there, about 4 people voting.
This was in Forest Hill. Guy said it was heavier when it opened and everyone will come in after work.

There is a 3rd party Libertarian candidate - Gary Johnson - to vote for. He was GOP guv of New Mexico for
8 years and of course conservative.

By voting for him, you can help him get public funds if he gets 5% of the popular vote, not bad since our
votes don't count in MD anyway. I did that once before.

Just a thought.

**AirFlacco** · 11-06-2012, 12:40 PM

Letterman joked that the re-counts start on Wed and the Supreme Court will vote for MItt.
That was true with Bush but Letterman forgot about Roberts. He's with the Liberal block of the court
now giving us OBummer care.

Speaking of which, on Wed the regulations to implement it go into effect. OBY laid off during the campaign
but the gov't will be dictating how hospitals, insurance companies will do business. A business man was
on TV who owns several restaurants in NY and he said the Dept of Labor has already been harassing him
on certain things.

Welcome communism.

**AirFlacco** · 11-06-2012, 12:50 PM

Damn, this is from polticol the big DEM site, poll.

Romney up by +15 amongst independents, Again, this is what Dick was preaching all
summer.

__________________________________
If I’m a Republican presidential candidate with a 15-point lead among independents and a neutralized gender gap, I’m pretty confident of the outcome. We’ll certainly see soon enough, but here’s one last piece of data:
__________________________________

http://hotair.com/archives/2012/11/0...-independents/

**HoustonRaven** · 11-06-2012, 12:53 PM

Mitt being up among Indies was predicted. No surprise there.

**AirFlacco** · 11-06-2012, 12:55 PM

Yea, except this is from politicol.

BTW HR, how did you vote - via absentee ballot since your away? Just wondering.

**HoustonRaven** · 11-06-2012, 01:07 PM

Early voting. Voted last week.

**Haloti92** · 11-06-2012, 01:09 PM

Originally Posted by StingerNLG

I think reality is starting to set in on the left.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mobile...b_2081881.html

Sent from my PC36100 using Tapatalk 2

I hope he is right, but his math of the Electoral votes is off, which makes me a bit concerned about relying on his overall take.

He says Romney gets to 271 with VA and OH, which is false. Romney is at 266, still one state short at that point. So assuming Obama wins Iowa and New Hampshire (which I am not, but that guy is), then Romney is at 266 and WI and CO are certainly not "icing on the cake," one of them is needed. This is easy to see when he says Romney finishes with WI and CO (the supposed "icing) but only 285 EVs. WI (10) and CO (9) are worth 19, so 19 from 285 is 266 (short of goal).

I am sticking with: Romney wins Ohio, he wins. Romney loses Ohio, he loses. I am slowly being convinced (probably wishful thinking), that PA is possible even with an OH loss. Reading some speculation about Obama's Philly ground game being rusty and unprepared, and their standard election-day union GOTV reinforcements from NJ and NY being occupied with Sandy cleanup. Probably why they are resorting to fraud.

I still am very skeptical of a win w/o either OH or PA (like the WI, CO, IA or NH path). That path I think is only going to happen if either OH or PA or both already have happened, i.e. it will happen only in the cases it isn't even needed.

**HoustonRaven** · 11-06-2012, 01:20 PM

Report: Mark Sanchez has been in the voting booth for over 3 hours now as he has been unable to complete a single vote.

**NCRAVEN** · 11-06-2012, 01:24 PM

That's pretty funny.

**HoustonRaven** · 11-06-2012, 01:25 PM

That's from FauxJohnMadden on twitter

**Haloti92** · 11-06-2012, 01:29 PM

https://twitter.com/iowahawkblog/sta...86982014119936

Originally Posted by iowahawkblog tweet

Big life events can impact party ID. For example, having a child makes you more likely to vote GOP; dying makes you more likely to vote Dem

**HoustonRaven** · 11-06-2012, 02:12 PM

Nah, we don't need voter ID laws ....

http://www.nbcbayarea.com/investigat...177286281.html

**StingerNLG** · 11-06-2012, 02:18 PM

Originally Posted by Haloti92

I hope he is right, but his math of the Electoral votes is off, which makes me a bit concerned about relying on his overall take.

He says Romney gets to 271 with VA and OH, which is false. Romney is at 266, still one state short at that point. So assuming Obama wins Iowa and New Hampshire (which I am not, but that guy is), then Romney is at 266 and WI and CO are certainly not "icing on the cake," one of them is needed. This is easy to see when he says Romney finishes with WI and CO (the supposed "icing) but only 285 EVs. WI (10) and CO (9) are worth 19, so 19 from 285 is 266 (short of goal).

I am sticking with: Romney wins Ohio, he wins. Romney loses Ohio, he loses. I am slowly being convinced (probably wishful thinking), that PA is possible even with an OH loss. Reading some speculation about Obama's Philly ground game being rusty and unprepared, and their standard election-day union GOTV reinforcements from NJ and NY being occupied with Sandy cleanup. Probably why they are resorting to fraud.

I still am very skeptical of a win w/o either OH or PA (like the WI, CO, IA or NH path). That path I think is only going to happen if either OH or PA or both already have happened, i.e. it will happen only in the cases it isn't even needed.

I'm not skeptical about Ohio. I'm telling you I am hearing on the ground there that GOP voting counties are up and Dem voting counties are down. I still believe Romney is going to pull out Ohio.

He gets to 271 with VA and OH adding Florida and NC. That's how he added them up.

I don't know how Wisconsin wouldn't go Romney after the Scott Walker recall. Walker is more Conservative than Romney ever could be, and he beat back a massive union and Democrat attack. Those same voters coming out in this election gives him the state.

**Haloti92** · 11-06-2012, 02:24 PM

Originally Posted by StingerNLG

He gets to 271 with VA and OH adding Florida and NC. That's how he added them up.

Yeah, except those 4 states don't get to 271. They get to 266. Romney needs those 4 and one other "swing state." Check it out.

I hear you about Ohio and Wisconsin and the whole election outlook. I would love for it to be perfectly accurate, but I am nervous and pessimistic. The demographics mandate that Romney turnout his supporters at historical rates, while Obama does not turnout his at 2008 (historic rates). I think the former will happen (Romney's turnout), what I am worried about is that Obama, with the extended early voting period and union armies and desperation and laser-like focus on a few states (firewalls), ends up just about matching his 2008 turnout (in the few states he needs to). This would result in a finish way way closer than Obama-McCain, but still leaving Romney short, imo.

**StingerNLG** · 11-06-2012, 02:29 PM

Originally Posted by Haloti92

Yeah, except those 4 states don't get to 271. They get to 266. Romney needs those 4 and one other "swing state." Check it out.

I hear you about Ohio and Wisconsin and the whole election outlook. I would love for it to be perfectly accurate, but I am nervous and pessimistic. The demographics mandate that Romney turnout his supporters at historical rates, while Obama does not turnout his at 2008 (historic rates). I think the former will happen (Romney's turnout), what I am worried about is that Obama, with the extended early voting period and union armies and desperation and laser-like focus on a few states (firewalls), ends up just about matching his 2008 turnout (in the few states he needs to). This would result in a finish way way closer than Obama-McCain, but still leaving Romney short, imo.

I think they are adding in Colorado, which right now the Sec of State there is saying GOP still has a +2 turnout over Dems.

BTW, this just in from Ohio. http://www.cleveland.com/west-geauga..._predicts.html Expecting 80% turnout from a precinct McCain won 57%.