Mocking The Mocks

Todd McShay

I sometimes have to laugh at mainstream media and their insatiable appetite to break a story. They’ll chase any lead, real or false, and then put it out there to give them some kind of competitive edge.

Sometimes the news is real. Sometimes it’s qualified with some cleverly scripted language like, “According to a source speaking on the condition of anonymity…” And sometimes the “news” is intended to throw off a false scent – a red herring of sorts.

Agents will filter news about their clients to achieve a premeditated effect. Some teams might also do the same.

Maybe a team GM knowing that a particular beat writer or columnist has a solid following might let it out that they plan to move up in the draft to select a certain player.

In both scenarios the journalist becomes a pawn in the agent’s or GM’s scheme.

Does anyone really think the Ravens would let out their draft plans in Round 1?

All of this gamesmanship reminds me of snowball fights when I was a youngster. One guy on our side would throw a snowball as high as he could as the “enemy” watched the snowball in flight, the rest of us would throw fastballs hoping to drill them while they admired the lofty toss.

Given the lack of genuine blue chip talent in the 2014 NFL Draft and the plethora of similarly graded players (we’ve seen Sammy Watkins as high as No. 2 and as low as No. 16) expect a ton of smoke and mirror deception prior to this year’s draft.

And all of those mocks will wig out accordingly.

Last offseason I listed the 2012 mock drafts of some well known mockers and compared them side-by-side (see below). It’s interesting to see how these mockers regularly update their mocks even though not a down of football has been played.

Sure I get that they are just trying to factor in the combines, how teams have augmented their rosters through free agency, the reported results of the individual workouts and the rumored visits by draft eligible players to various teams that sometimes never even happen.

Maybe they should do just one mock after all the draft dust has settled, don’t you think? Oh well, I guess it gives us something to talk about other than watered down college hoops and Googling players the Orioles have signed that most have never heard of.

In the comparison below, the players in green represent players that a “mocker” nailed right on the nose (although let’s be real here…EVERYONE knew the first 2 picks); those in red represent players who were picked to go in Round 1 by the mockers but never did; the players in blue were those selected in the first round that none of the mockers projected.

So in total of the 96 mock picks, the mockers hit on 14 (14.6%), 6 of which were gimmies. They made 11 (11.5%) picks that never landed on the day 1 draft board; 4 players were picked that none of the mockers had on their boards (4.2%). In other words, the number of players they all missed on plus the number of players they picked that were ignored by all 32 teams, added up to more than those they hit on even with the gimmies.

Go ahead, mock away!

What best describes your feelings about NFL Mock Drafts?
Great insight (10%)
Just filler content (39%)
Poor accuracy renders them useless (6%)
Yawn (6%)
They are great fun! (39%)
This poll has completed. Thank you for voting.
This entry was posted in Blog View, Draft Analysis, Featured by Tony Lombardi. Bookmark the permalink.

About Tony Lombardi

Tony Lombardi
Tony is 24x7 Networks, LLC's founder (the parent of EutawStreetReport.com and RussellStreetReport.com) His work has been featured on various sports websites and he is a regular guest on 105.7 The Fan. A diehard Fab Four fan, Tony is a frustrated musician who thinks beating on the steering wheel is akin...more

6 Raves on “Mocking The Mocks

  1. Fran the Fan on said:

    I will never mock your mock on mocks, Tony. 8>)

    These “fantasy drafts” are useful to fans like me for one reason: they identify NFL caliber players that I’ve never heard of that could possibly be on the Ravens’ front office radar. I learn more about potential NFL players from these mocks that I could ever learn by just watching college football.

    For me, the proposed draft position of each player by the mockers is irrelevant and, as you stated, usually ‘way off the mark. I saw a Bill Polian interview over the weekend in which he was asked about about the accuracy and usefulness of the various mock drafts on ESPN and elsewhere. The former Colt executive quickly laughed out loud – which said it all. Realizing he was “mocking” his coworkers at the WWL who do this for a living, and so not to risk the wrath of his bosses, he then backtracked to state how hard it was to accurately forecast a draft order. I stand by his original response.

  2. J.O. on said:

    I have no problem with mock drafts. It’s just fun to speculate on who ur teams next star will be and it’s good gamesmanship, like watching a card game or chess match. Also helps you learn about incoming rookies.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>

 

Hot off the street

RAVENS REPORT CARD: Ravens 29, Falcons 7

Ravens Take Over 1st Place in AFC North Overall: B+ Defense was great, Offense did enough and they were up 20 – 0 after 3 quarters. Atlanta is a bad team and good teams dominate bad ones and tha...read more

KNEE-JERK REACTIONS: Ravens Cruise in Battle of Birds

The Ravens were clearly the better team but a sloppy second half by the home team kept the game mildly interesting for folks not rooting for the birds in black. Hopefully Eugene Monroe returns next we...read more

This Week on Russell Street

GO BOLD! Some of our staff predictions admittedly have been pretty whack! Some of you have said we’re homers…well at least one of you always says so. Do you think these BOLD PREDICTIONS are any b...read more

LOOK OVER HERE: Cryin’ Matt Ryan on Sunday?

Things to look for on Sunday when you aren't watching the ball... Me & Julio: Julio is the name of my friend’s African Grey parrot but a bird of greater interest on Sunday is Falcons’ WR Ju...read more

CRAB BAG: Flacco vs. Ryan, Round 2

The careers of Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco will forever be linked, as they were the first two quarterbacks chosen in the 2008 Draft. As far as recent quarterbacks taken in the draft, having two guys from...read more

View More