PERCEPTION IS REALITY: Ravens Closer to #1 Draft Choice than to Playoffs


Reality: Baltimore is 3-5 and off to its worst start since 2005.

Perception: You can blame the bad record on the loss of 10 players from the Super Bowl Championship team, but I don’t believe that’s it. What is it? Who knows, but they are just not good. The offensive line can’t run block and create holes for the backs. They can’t pass block and give Joe Flacco time to pass. The receivers aren’t getting open and are dropping too many passes. Flacco is definitely haven’t an off year with many passes just being off the mark (unlike last year). The defensive secondary has been just terrible this year. The linebackers aren’t making tackles. The punter is having this worst season of his career. This team, as a whole, is just not good.

Reality: The Baltimore Ravens lost to Cleveland for the first time since 2007. It was the first loss to Cleveland, as well as the first loss after a bye, in the Harbaugh era.

Perception: This team is just not good at all right now. Cleveland, with their 3rd string quarterback, was better. The part that may be the most frustrating is that the worst two performances of the year were the games with the most preparation time. They got blown out in Denver after having the whole offseason to prepare, and then lost in Cleveland after the bye week off. That is unacceptable.

Reality: The Ravens are 3-5 and in 12th place (out of 16 teams) in the AFC.

Perception: They no longer control their own fate. The Ravens have 6 teams in front of them that need to lose (and the Ravens need to win out) to just make the playoffs. But let’s be serious. This team doesn’t deserve to make the playoffs. They are a bad team. Every aspect of this team is bad.

Reality: There are nine teams in the NFL with a worse record than the Ravens. There are 22 teams with a better record.

Perception: This team is closer to the #1 draft pick than they are to making the playoffs! It might be time to start realizing this team will not be making a sixth straight postseason appearance.

Reality: 17% of Super Bowl Champions have repeated. Eleven Super Bowl Champions have gotten back to the Super Bowl the next year. Nearly 70% of defending Super Bowl Champions (32 of 46 teams) get back to the playoffs. The year after winning the Super Bowl, the average amount of wins for that team the next regular season is 10.75. 30.4% of Super Bowl Champions have missed the playoffs. Only seven Super Bowl Champions have followed up a Championship year with a losing record.

Perception: It appears that the Ravens will be on the bad side of most – if not all – of those trends. This team will not win 10 games. This team will not make the playoffs, and looking ahead at the schedule, there is a very good chance this team has a losing record at year’s end. To not have a losing record, the Ravens need to go 5-3 the rest of the way. I see two losses against Cincinnati, and another loss against the Patriots. That means they would have to win in Chicago, in Detroit, and at home against the Jets, Steelers, and Vikings. That’s not an easy task, and that would just to get the Ravens to an 8-8 record!

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About Joe Polek

Joe Polek
Joe Polek was born in Baltimore, MD, and was raised in Bel Air, MD. In 2001, he moved to Portland, Maine for a job in radio. In 2012, he moved to Columbia, SC for another gig in radio, where he currently resides with his wife, Nicole, and their two daughters....more

10 Raves on “PERCEPTION IS REALITY: Ravens Closer to #1 Draft Choice than to Playoffs

  1. KO on said:

    I’m ok with that. Give me 5 years of playoffs (with at least a win in each one), a couple of division titles, a 3 game winning streak at Heinz Field, not losing a division game for nearly 2 years — oh yeah — and a Super Bowl win — I’ll take an off year. This was as good a five year run as any team has had this millennium. Nobody makes the playoffs every year, and if you are not going to make it, a top 10-15 draft pick is a nice consolation. We have not picked that high in years. The margin between playoff teams and non-playoff teams is not all that great in the AFC. There is a lot of mediocrity – especially in their own division. A good impact draft pick, and some roster management, the Ravens can be a playoff contender in short order.

    • CrabbyPatty on said:

      I agree as well. The Ravens went to the playoffs for 5 years in a row. Not a whole lot of other team’s fans get to say something like that. And I too expect the Ravens to be a lot better of a team next season. Some fans in Baltimore seem like they’re getting a little spoiled lol. Don’t be greedy, they’re giving another team a chance to win lol.

      • Anonymous on said:

        Couple of average picks???

        I guess you would consider Johnathan Ogden, Ray Lewis, Poeter Bolware, Ray Rice, Joe Flacco, Torry Smith, Terrell Suggs, Chris McCallister, Dennis Pitta, Todd Heap. Average.

        Then he picks up a Marlon Brown late, he picks up an Adalius Thomas late.

        I guess its true what they say about Balti Morons.

  2. Dot on said:

    Definitely looking forward to the draft. I really think Ozzie needs to stop trading down, it hasnt really been working out lately. Dont get me wrong, Ozzie is a genius, but I’d like to see him more aggressive than conservative especially when he has the chance to snag a stud early in the draft. All of these depth picks we’ve been making has us out of the playoff picture right now. We need certified starters on our team rather than all of these glorified #2 and #3 strings. Love them all but let’s get back to the days when our 1st rounders make immediate impacts on our team.

  3. debbie on said:

    It is really hard to watch them. Just wish the season was over. I guess we are all spoiled. At least Pittsburgh is in same boat, wouldn’t want to hear their crap right about now.

  4. john on said:

    Mike Preston said was I been saying for a few years. The coaching staff is pathetic! No football IQ here boys and girls! Yea, I know, the SB win and the last five years in the playoffs, pin most of that on the leadership of Ray Lewis and company, and by the way Ray was right! And the skill of te players we had at the time. Hey look at New England, they have a rag tag of no names but look where they are. Why….. because of a strong smart coaching staff and Tom Brady. Maybe one day the owner of this team will wake up and see that con job that was pulled on him. I hope so. What about Norv Turner and maybe Jack del Rio? some one with some smarts!

    • Joe Polek on said:

      John… you can’t be serious .. Norv Turner?? As offensive coordinator, great. As Head Coach… you are out of your mind. He had nothing but top notch talent in SD and could never do anything with it.

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