Win Streak Shines Light on Ravens Winning Formula

camometer-warm_front_page5

Two key factors for winning in the NFL are limiting turnovers and converting in the Red Zone. Both have been improving during the Ravens current four game win streak.

Over the last four games the offense has converted at a rate of 57.7% and now has its highest league ranking in months. Joe Flacco has thrown five TDs compared to only two interceptions and Ray Rice has four rushing touchdowns. It’s clear the recent increase in efficiency ads up to wins, but which stats really comprise the winning formula for the Ravens in 2011?

The biggest indicator for a Ravens win is when Ray Rice has a rushing touchdown; they are 7-0 in those games. When the team commits less than two turnovers they are 6-0 and 0-3 when they have two or more. The Ravens are 5-0 when Joe Flacco has no interceptions and 3-3 when Ray Rice does not run for a score.

Now the Ravens face a dangerous Chargers team that finds its offense peaking at a critical time and coming off a 37-10 win over Buffalo. Recent history does bode well as the Ravens have gone 6-4 in west coast road trips since the 2000 season.

Category

2010 (rank)

2011 to date

2011 Ranking

Difference

Pts / Gm

22.3 (16)

24.6

9th

Tot Pts

357 (16)

320

9th

Yds / Gm

322.9 (22)

346.0

14th

Rush Yds/Gm

114.4 (14)

117.2

13th

Pass Yds/Gm

208.4 (20)

228.8

15th

1st downs/Gm

18.9 (18)

20.2

13th

3rd Down Pct.

39% (T-16)

42%

8th

4th Down Pct.

40% (T-21)

57%

T-9th

Penalties

90 (T-18)

77

22nd

TOP/Gm

31:20 (11)

30:55

10th

Fumbles

22 (T-17)

22

T-4th

Fumbles Lost

10 (T-17)

12

T-2nd

Turnovers

+7 (9)

+3

12th

Red Zone %

49.2% (22)

48.9%

19th

Flacco QB Rating

93.6 (7)

79.9

21st

Remaining Strength of Schedule for AFC teams in the Playoff Race

Team

Remaining Opponents Combined Record

Winning Pct.

Texans

11 – 28

.282

Titans

14 – 25

.359

Jets

16 – 23

.410

Steelers

16 – 23

.410

Patriots

17 – 22

.436

Ravens

17 – 22

.436

Bengals

18 – 21

.461

Raiders

19 – 20

.487

Broncos

20 – 19

.513

Chargers

25 – 14

.641

Red Zone Conversion Rate for Teams with a Winning Record

Team

2011 Red zone %

2010 Red zone %

1. NY Jets

71.8%

44.3%

2. Tennessee

65.5%

58.1%

3. New England

63.2%

61.9%

4. Green Bay

61.4%

62.7%

5. NY Giants

60.5%

57.4%

6. Detroit

57.8%

64.4%

7. Atlanta

56.5%

60.7%

8. Oakland

55.0%

52.1%

9. Chicago

54.5%

49.1%

10. New Orleans

53.4%

51.5%

11. Pittsburgh

52.3%

52.5%

12. Houston

49.0%

62.3%

13. Ravens

48.9%

49.2%

14. Cincinnati

48.7%

49.1%

15. Denver

46.4%

55.8%

16. Dallas

46.3%

59.6%

17. San Francisco

35.7%

47.6%

BTN will track the progress here on a weekly basis. Keep in mind for some categories a decrease is positive, as in the case of Fumbles lost, and an increase is negative, in as the case of Penalties.

 

This entry was posted in Behind the Numbers by Scot Kleinfeld. Bookmark the permalink.

About Scot Kleinfeld

Scot Kleinfeld
Scot is a Baltimore native, a Towson University graduate, and has followed sports since the early 1980's. Scot likes to go inside the numbers and get the real "411" on the wins and losses,  hence his Behind The Numbers column.   Besides being an avid sports fan, Scot has been...more

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>

 

Hot off the street

THE FINAL WORD: Ravens Need to Lock up a Rising Star

I'll admit it, I thought Owen Daniels was finished. When I was out at Owings Mills covering training camp, Daniels looked sluggish pulling away from defenders on routes, and that was when he wasn't in...read more

The NFL…Still Crazy After All These Years

Confessions of a Sports Nut The NFL never ceases to amaze me. When it comes to evaluating games and looking at who does what well and reflecting on last Sunday's performance, there's only one conc...read more

Week 8: “America’s Team” Keeps Rolling

If Sunday night's game was any indication, Peyton Manning might possibly have thrown 700 touchdown passes by the time he's finished playing. Going by his career average of 2.01 passing touchdowns per ...read more

Daniels Off to Fast Start With Ravens

My how quickly things change once the NFL gets a few weeks under its belt. Heading into the 2014 season under new offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak, the Ravens and many fans knew just how important...read more

Long Snappers Seem Boring…Until You Need One

It may not be the sexiest position on an NFL roster, but the long snapper is certainly one of great importance in an all too often forgotten part of the game. A good long snapper is the kind of pla...read more

View More