Yanda Holds Up Just Fine Against Suh

Filmstudy Yanda Holds Up Just Fine Against Suh

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Matt Schaub was the whipping boy for the latest loss on Sunday. While he played with a challenging set of circumstances, that’s not entirely unfair.

Schaub had ATS on just 18 of 49 dropbacks (37%). That was the lowest ATS percentage for the OL since week 1 at Denver (15%). Results by ATS:Screen Shot 2015-12-10 at 6.12.47 PMSummarizing relative to expectation:

Screen Shot 2015-12-10 at 6.12.54 PMSetting aside the interceptions for the moment, the 5-yard differential doesn’t tell the whole story with 2 enormous (and offsetting) impacts.

Schaub threw 13 passes to Allen, 12 of which he caught (the only target he didn’t catch was Shelby’s pick-6, so Allen was perfect). However, those 12 passes traveled a net total of 8 yards from the LoS in the air. Allen added 89 yards of YAC and 10 yards on a lateral to bring his receiving total to 107.

Offsetting the benefit of YAC, Schaub consistently faced a crowded secondary while under pressure. The Dolphins used a 4-man pass rush on 38 of 49 snaps and the Ravens had 5 instances where they kept in 2 eligible receivers to block. In the past, when Flacco has faced consistently-effective, 4-man pressure, he similarly resorted to a check down game to Rice (I’m envisioning several Cincinnati games since 2009). Schaub’s interceptions both resulted from balls batted at or behind the LoS. It’s minimal consolation, but he was effective at avoiding interceptions downfield.

The Ravens had 75 meaningful snaps (excludes penalties).


Hurst: James imploded the week after he played his best career game versus the Browns. He simply had no answer for Vernon, an elite pass rusher who plowed through him and dipped his shoulder to beat him outside all day. I charged him with just 1/3 (the equivalent of a pressure) of Vernon’s first sack (Q1, 3:48), because Suh drove Gillmore back and flushed the pocket from the front side, directly to Vernon. His best block of the day was a driving pancake of Phillips, which cleared the way for West’s 8-yard run up the middle.

Scoring: 75 plays, 55 blocks, 8 missed, 5 pressures, 2.17 (1/2 + 2/3 + 1) QHs, 1.33 (1/2 + 1/2 + 1/3) sacks, 1 holding penalty, 24.5 points (.33 per play). That’s 20 points short of a passing score, even after adjustment, F. As bad as he played, he was 20 points worse versus Denver. In 2013, Browns fans were trying to find a slogan similar to “Suck for Luck” to reflect the fans desire the team tank for the top overall pick. One fan (tongue in cheek, I believe) suggested “Play Oniel for Manziel”. It’s a good thing Hurst’s name, like Bart’s, doesn’t rhyme with anything.

Osemele: Kelechi returned after missing 2 games and was outstanding. He took a tough charge for a pressure when Phillips reached up to get a piece of Schaub’s first interception. Vernon also bulled him for a pressure on the play immediately preceding his first sack (Q1, 3:56). Otherwise, a single missed cut block was his only blemish of the day. He made all 7 of his blocks in level 2. It was suggested he did not have the mobility for a zone scheme, but that’s turned out to be hogwash. He’s broadly talented and should be a top 5 guard for the next 5 years. Osememle had 3 highlight blocks, and his best was a combination which opened both sides of the hole for Allen’s 5-yard run (Q2, 10:49). He pinned Shelby for Urschel, then turned to block Misi as Allen squirted through for a first down.

Scoring: 74 plays, 71 blocks, 1 missed, 2 pressures, 71 points (.91 per play). That’s and A with or without adjustment.

Urschel: John wasn’t terrible as a blocker, but he had a holding penalty that heavily impacted his score. As a pass blocker, he had a share of 2 negative events, but he also missed 6 blocks (5 on runs), which is a high total for a center. Watching John play center makes me think he is going to have to work very hard to be ready to play guard, where he will be on the small side. He had 3 blocks in level 2, 1 pancake, and 2 highlight blocks, both of which resulted in short gains.

Scoring: 75 plays, 66 blocks, 6 missed, 5/6 (1/2 + 1/3) pressures, 1/3 QH, 1 offensive holding (declined), 63.33 points (.82 per play). With adjustment, that’s a D+ at center.

Yanda: Despite facing Suh on a fair number of snaps, Marshal had another fine game. He had a share of 3 negative pass-blocking events, including a half share of a QH (Q2, 0:49) when he was bulled across the pocket by Suh. Those were his first pass-rush charges since Week 8 versus San Diego. He had 4 highlight blocks, including a pancake of Suh, who he drove back over the pancaked Shelby (Q3, 14:30).

Scoring: 75 plays, 69 blocks, 3 missed, 1.17 Pressures, ½ QH, 66.33 points (.88 per play). That’s an A with adjustment for competition and star blocks. A secondary reason Marshal scores well in my system is his low missed-block rate. It’s not really fair to compare him to tackles who may be left with nothing but a difficult cut block on the back side of run plays, so we’ll just compare him to the other interior linemen:

Screen Shot 2015-12-10 at 6.22.33 PMThe differences are not as stark as they have been in prior years (like 2013), but his missed block percentage is a direct reduction from his raw score. The 3.5% is a typical adjustment for opponent quality which offsets his missed blocks. He would then have to have a poor combination of pass-blocking events, penetrations, and penalties to score below a B.

Wagner: Rick was consistently beaten by Shelby in his worst game since Week 3. He gave ground to Shelby, which disrupted Schaub’s last pass of the first half (Q2, 0:40), but did not have any obvious sign of injury. However, he sat out the Ravens’ first drive of the 2nd half (replaced by Wesley). Wagner does a good job keeping opponents in front of him, at the expense of ground in the pocket. With a quality left tackle, that’s not an issue, but he can exacerbate blind-side weakness, because he allows compression on his side. He had 1 block in level 2, but no star blocks.

Scoring: 69 plays, 56 blocks, 5 missed, 5 (4 + ½ + ½) pressures, 1/3 QH, ½ sack, 42 points (.61 per play). That’s a D with or without adjustment.

Jensen: Ryan entered for 1 play while Osemele was dealing with his shoe and got a 1/3 share of a pressure as the Ravens failed to convert 3rd and 6.

Wesley: De’Ondre saw his first NFL action when he replaced Wagner at RT for the first drive of the second half. After he missed a cut on Suh on his first play, he came back to pancaked Shelby on his second (Q3, 14:30) for his highlight block. He allowed a pressure to Coples who came unblocked off the right side on the 41-yard TD to Allen.


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Ken McKusick

About Ken McKusick

Known as “Filmstudy” from his handle on area message boards, Ken is a lifelong Baltimorean and rabid fan of Baltimore sports. He grew up within walking distance of Memorial Stadium and attended all but a handful of Orioles games from 1979 through 2001. He got his start in sports modeling with baseball in the mid 1980’s. He began writing about the Ravens in 2006 and maintains a library of video for every game the team has played. He’s a graduate of Syracuse with degrees in Broadcast Journalism and Math who recently retired from his actuarial career to pursue his passion as a football analyst full time.

If you have math or modeling questions related to sports or gambling, Ken is always interested in hearing new problems or ideas.

He can be reached by email at [email protected] or followed on Twitter @filmstudyravens.

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