Line Delivers ATS by Titans’ Design

Filmstudy Line Delivers ATS by Titans’ Design

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OL Model & Notes vs. Titans 11/5/17

The Ravens line generated ATS on 30 of 54 dropbacks (56%, excludes Koch’s pass), which would normally be a fine total. However, that percentage includes 10 consecutive ATS opportunities as the Ravens ran their no-huddle offense on their final drive (when they trailed by 10 points). The Titans rushed 3 on 7 of those 10 plays and dropped to a loose coverage scheme content to minimize the risk of big plays.

It is disappointing, to say the least, that Flacco averaged just 4.7 YPP with this high percentage of ATS opportunities.

To offset some of the impact of this scheme on grades, I dropped the adjustments by .02 each. Nonetheless, the grades are good.

Offensive Line Scoring

The Ravens ran 76 scored snaps (excludes accepted penalties which result in no play, kneels, spikes, and special teams plays that result in a run or pass).

Stanley: Ronnie played hurt, which showed up on several plays in addition to 2 departures. Ronnie faced Brian Orakpo for most of the day, against whom he performed reasonably well, allowing just 1.5 pressures in a long game.  However, he was beaten inside by Walden for a pressure when playing on the right side (Q1, 14:33, unbalanced), bulled by Casey for pressure, and bulled then shed for a sack by Klug (Q2, 1:06). He disengaged awkwardly from Casey, and in obvious pain, on the Ravens 4th down conversion (Q2, 11:05). Ronnie left the game after using his shoulder and neck to deliver an effective level 2 block on the 17-yard catch and run by Maxx Williams (Q3, 8:47), which was one of his 2 highlights. Stanley also left for the final Ravens offensive play.

Scoring: 65 plays, 54 blocks, 6 missed, 3.5 pressures, 1 sack, 41 points (.65 per play).  D. The Ravens have a number of players who should benefit from the additional week off, but none is more important to a possible playoff push  than Stanley.

Hurst: James split his time between LG (65 snaps) and LT (11). His only negative event was a holding flag when he was beaten outside by Orakpo (Q3, 7:43). The play is a perfect example of the additional negative impact of the option created by that flag. Had the pass been completed for a conversion, it would have been -10 yards with no loss of down (the best possible result). Since the Titans felt the loss of 1 was a better outcome, they declined. That optionality is the reason I have not made changes to charges that are more severe for penalties than other systems.  He missed 8 blocks, included 3 marked slip or L2NB (moved to level 2 and made no block), 2 where he did not provide needed help on a pass block, and 3 others where he was beaten, but the play did not result in a pass rush event or run for loss. Hurst again made all 4 of his pulls (up to 28 of his last 34).

Scoring: 76 plays, 67 blocks, 8 missed, 1 offensive holding, 61 points (.80 per play). After adjustment that’s a B.  However, he did not have any negative scores at LG and would have scored a low A.

Jensen: Ryan had a solid game, but had just 1 highlight with the pass-heavy Ravens offense. He shared Casey’s sack (Q1, 0:24) with Matt Skura. Casey crossed Ryan’s face and beat him to the left. DE Jones also beat him for a pressure late in Q3. He had 1 pancake and his only highlight came on a block he maintained on Johnson for 5 seconds on the same play Stanley was injured (Q3, 8:47).

Scoring: 76 plays, 71 blocks, 3 missed, 1 pressure, ½ sack, 66 points (.87 per play). That’s a B+ after adjustment at center.

Skura: Matt had another solid game where he minimized missed blocks. I should say that my system values a player who engages an opponent without giving ground. That’s something Skura has done with reasonable consistency this season. For a player who is consistently bulldozing defenders, I assign highlight blocks (with resulting extra credit points), but missing blocks is penalized more than generating push is rewarded. In addition to the half sack mentioned above with Jensen, he was bulled then pancaked by Casey for a pressure (Q4, 1:01). I have him scored for just 1 missed block for the 2nd consecutive week. He made 2 blocks in level 2, but shared a penetration on his only pull. I did not score him for any highlights.

Scoring: 76 plays, 71 blocks, 1 missed, 1/2 penetration, 1 pressures, 1/2 sack, 66 points (.87 per play). After adjustment, that’s an A- at guard. Matt has had a grade that is on the B-/C+ border for the season, covering 263 snaps (the equivalent of approximately 4 full games). Both he and the OL coaching staff deserve credit for performance well above reasonable expectations.

Howard: Austin rebounded with his best game since Oakland. He was beaten by Casey for a penetration (Q1, 7:25).  He was beaten inside for 2.5 pressures, the first by Morgan (Q4, 11:51). He also surrendered a 1.5 pressures to Walden on consecutive plays beginning (Q4, 3:57). He had 3 blocks in level 2 and 1 pancake.

Scoring: 76 plays, 66 blocks, 6 missed, 1 penetration, 2.5 pressures, 59 points (.78 per play). That’s a B after adjustment for opponent quality.

Bowanko: Luke again split time between LG (11 snaps) and TE in jumbo packages (4). He was bulled by Klug for a pressure (Q3, 1:26) when playing LG.

Scoring: 15 plays, 12 blocks, 2 missed, 1 pressure, 10 points (.67 per play).

If you’re interested in seeing scoring trends for the players this season, these charts will be updated weekly.

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Ken McKusick

About Ken McKusick

Known as “Filmstudy” from his handle on area message boards, Ken is a lifelong Baltimorean and rabid fan of Baltimore sports. He grew up within walking distance of Memorial Stadium and attended all but a handful of Orioles games from 1979 through 2001. He got his start in sports modeling with baseball in the mid 1980’s. He began writing about the Ravens in 2006 and maintains a library of video for every game the team has played. He’s a graduate of Syracuse with degrees in Broadcast Journalism and Math who recently retired from his actuarial career to pursue his passion as a football analyst full time. If you have math or modeling questions related to sports or gambling, Ken is always interested in hearing new problems or ideas. He can be reached by email at [email protected] or followed on Twitter @filmstudyravens. More from Ken McKusick

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