Ok, so I really don’t want to but I guess I have to talk about the abomination that was last week’s lineup. The always reliable “attack the Bills offense” approach backfired to the tune of -3 points. The Falcons mucked up a sweet spot thus making Ito Smith irrelevant (6.6 points). Philip Rivers’ volume concerns showed up and the splash plays didn’t. Jordan Howard had 31 yards. Jimmy Graham caught one pass. Total the lineup scored a measly 74.02 DraftKings points.
Now that I’ve re-lived that nightmare…on to week 11.
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick @NYG
You might as well give me the 300-yard bonus now. Whether it’s Fitz or Winston, this offense just cranks out raw numbers. The turnovers are always problematic but if another 400-yard performance leads to 3 points again I’d be absolutely stunned. The Giants haven’t been horrible on defense but they certainly don’t offer anything we need to be avoiding. Todd Monken taking back play calling duties after a weird one-week demotion makes me even more bullish.
DraftKings salary: 5,600
RB David Johnson vs. Oak
I told you guys Byron Leftwich’s Kangol was coming didn’t I!? He put D.J.’s all-purpose game on display and he was rewarded with 183 total yards and a receiving TD. Now he gets the hapless Raiders team who are damn near a lock to give up a rushing TD weekly. Didn’t think we’d see home favorite David Johnson in 2018 but here we are. My season-long team where I took DJ 3rd overall approves.
DraftKings salary: 7,500
RB Melvin Gordon vs. Den
This is maybe the easiest play of the week. Denver is giving up 131 yards rushing per game this season (7th worst in the NFL) while the Chargers are tied for 2nd in the NFL at 5.1 yards per rush. Gordon has bankable pass game usage on his side too as he’s essentially their #2 receiver. Play MG3 in every lineup this week
DraftKings salary: 8,900
WR Michael Thomas vs. Phi
DraftKings salary: 8,800
If Gordon is the easiest play of the week, Michael Thomas is a close 2nd. The game is set up to be a shootout. The Eagles have struggled to defend receivers this season (6th most fantasy points given up to WR) and they just lost their best corner for the rest of the year. On your best day with ideal personnel you’d have trouble stopping the Saints passing game cornerstone. I just don’t see a feasible way he’s under 100 yards in this one.
WR Josh Reynolds vs. KC
With Gordon and Thomas on board it’s impossible to get high-level exposure to the Chiefs/Rams offensive bonanza but I had to get in somehow. The Rams run more 11 personnel than anybody in the league so w/Cooper Kupp out the snaps will be there. With Kupp out of the lineup in week 8, Reynolds drew 5 targets and scored two touchdowns versus the Packers. The Chiefs have been susceptible to chunk plays and that’s exactly what he specializes in. 6 to 8 targets should be the floor here in game that could yield a basketball score.
DraftKings salary: 4,200
WR Anthony Miller vs. Min
My draft crush balled last week with 5 catches 122 yards receiving and a touchdown. The Vikings are stingy to opposing outside receivers and running games but are susceptible in the slot. I expect Trubisky to key in on his underneath receivers while trying to avoid a revved-up Vikings pass rush. Expecting another 122 yards receiving is probably ambitious but I’ll take the volume at this price.
DraftKings salary: 4,200
TE Ricky Seals Jones vs. Oak
David Johnson isn’t the only one that’s been #freed with Byron Leftwich taking over the play calling in Arizona. A preseason favorite of mine, RSJ has been the beneficiary of prime opportunity the last couple weeks. The Raiders are one of the leagues worst versus the tight end and if Seals Jones can give you the 4 catch 62 yard per game average that Oakland gives up for the season with a TD than you’ve got a steal for this price.
DraftKings salary: 2,900
Flex Dion Lewis
With Lamar Jackson likely starting on Sunday and the gravity his wheels have I almost went with Alex Collins here. Then I saw I had 400 dollars left and it would have been foolish not to bump up to Lewis. He’s become the full-on workhorse in a rejuvenated…well maybe not rejuvenated but finally functional Titans offense in a game that could be a sneaky shootout. Lewis should push for 25 touches against a meh Colts defense. Not too many bargains like this in week 11 of a fantasy season.
DraftKings salary: 4,800
Defense Cardinals vs. Oak
The Bills are on bye so I’m headed over to the bay. The Raiders are just bad. The Cardinals can pressure the passer. I’m sorry I don’t have more technical take for you guys but this is a really good play, even if it is a little expensive for my frugal defensive tastes.
DraftKings salary: 3,100