As the season comes to a close, we’ve got one more opportunity to cash in for the 2018 season. For the Super Bowl, DraftKings is going with their showdown formats only. It replaces designated position slots with five flex spots where you can play any player or defense of your choosing and one Captain slot where the player you choose carries a higher salary than the other slots but tallies 1.5 times their fantasy output.
Before I get into the lineup, I’d like to thank everyone who’s supported me this season as I’ve ventured into the daily fantasy world. It’s been very much appreciated. The content won’t stop here though, I’ll be providing a wide range of offseason content to get you prepared for 2019.
On to the lineup…
Captain: Todd Gurley
This game is screaming for a return of workhorse usage for Gurley. The Patriots have been a shutdown run defense over the last month but are bottom 10 in every RB pass game metric. As good as C.J. Anderson has been, I don’t know if they can rest their championship odds on banging him between the tackles. Game script probably won’t allow for an abundance of it anyway.
So, my strange hot take is Gurley takes the reigns back and gobbles up 25 + touches, giving him Super Bowl MVP upside.
DraftKings salary: 13,500
Flex: Tom Brady
In November and December, Brady had moments where he seemed close to losing the proverbial battle with father time but he got with his old coach and got a tune up and has been sharp since. The Rams’ improving run D plus the magnitude of the game will probably swing volume more in his favor in this one but I won’t get too trivial here…It’s Tom Brady, it’s the Super Bowl. He averages 322 passing yards per game compared to 262 in the regular season. He also sports an 18-5 TD to interception ratio. Play TB in big games.
DraftKings salary: 10,600
Flex: Julian Edelman
The Rams actually defend the slot really well and have a tough and talented slot corner in Nickell Robey-Coleman. I don’t care…I’m not going against the precision of the Patriots’ short passing game and the volume that Edelman receives. He’s now had at least 10 targets in six of the last seven games. With Rob Gronkowski no longer being the force he once was, the Patriots passing game revolves around Edelman.
DraftKings salary: 10,800
Flex: James White
I know the matchup isn’t great. The Rams give up the 5th fewest receiving yards per game to opposing RBs but I’m crafting this lineup with the prediction that this game spills over its current point projections. Much like with Edelman, White is a staple of the Patriots short passing game and I’m comfortable betting on their scheme overcoming the matchup. In two Super Bowls, White has 29 total touches and four TDs.
DraftKings salary: 7,200
Flex: Josh Reynolds
This is a bet that the Patriots defensive game plan will funnel targets in the direction of Reynolds. Conventional wisdom has the Patriots putting stud corner Stephon Gilmore on chain mover Robert Woods than doubling the field-stretching Brandin Cooks, leaving Reynolds to get one on ones versus the likes of JC Jackson and/or Jason McCourty. While they haven’t been slouches by any stretch, volume is king. If we can get seven or so targets at the price point for a player as talented as Reynolds, it’s a worthwhile bet to make.
DraftKings salary: 5,400
Flex: Gerald Everett
For similar reasoning to the Reynolds play, I like Everett in this matchup. The Patriots will try to force you to lean on your bit players and live with the results. Everett fits into that category, but has feature player talent and will a difficult cover for the Pats linebackers. He ran 28 routes in the NFC Championship, one short of a season-high for him. If he can get similar opportunity this is a no-brainer play at his price.
DraftKings salary: 2,000