The blocked kick for a TD by the Giants kept my cheap defense roll going last week (10 points). Jared Goff didn’t light the world on fire, but he did have a respectable 268 yards passing and 2 TD, couple that with a short rushing TD and he ended up with a solid 25.02 points. Leonard Fournette still didn’t score a TD, but his 145 total yards led to 19.50 points. The Henry boys (Derrick and Hunter), helped pace the lineup with 17.80 and 15.70 points.
It wasn’t all roses though. There’s a reason I started a 10-point defense as the peak. Weather turned what I thought would be a multiple TD game for Tevin Coleman into a messy field goal soup. Cooper Kupp wasn’t on the business end of either of Goff’s passing TDs and ended with a blah 6 catches for 50 yards. Speaking of blah, Calvin Ridley and DJ Chark didn’t clear 100 yards receiving between the two of them and ended up with a combined 17.30 points. The lineup ended up with a forgettable, 124.42 points. Here’s to better days ahead!
QB Matt Stafford vs New York (Giants)
DFS is a cold world. A week after touting the Giants as an optimal cheap defense, we’re going after them in this lineup. The Giants were at home last week but this week they’re on the road where they allow a 118 passer rating in 4 games this season. The 10.2 yards per attempt they’ve allowed on the road is worse than the Dolphins league worst 9.4 number.
While the Giants do have a decent pass rush, the Lions offensive line has the 8th best adjusted sack rate per Football Outsiders. Look for Stafford to keep things rolling coming off a 4 TD game last week.
DraftKings salary: 6,100
RB Chris Carson @ Atlanta
The Falcons haven’t done a lot right this season but they have held up well as a run defense (3.7 yard per carry), but with the sheer volume he’ll receive combined with the likelihood that Matt Ryan misses this game, it feels really likely that the Seahawks come in and impose their will with Carson and control the clock. Carson walks into this game with a 25-touch floor and could easily walk out with a couple TD’s.
DraftKings salary: 7,000
RB Sony Michel vs. Cleveland
Michel struggled to find running room last week versus the Jets but this week offers a lot less resistance. Only the Bucs give up less than the 3.2 yards per carry that the Jets allow but the Browns? They give up a league worst 4.9. This one is pretty straight forward; Bill Belichick and Co. get Baker Mayfield seeing those same Ghosts that Sam Darnold did and Michel is the primary beneficiary with another chance at the TD hat trick.
DraftKings salary: 5,200
WR DeAndre Hopkins vs. Oakland
Hopkins finally looked like himself again from a production standpoint with 106 yards receiving and a TD. He’ll have a great chance to build on that performance this week versus an Oakland team giving up the 2nd most fantasy points per game to receivers. They’ve given up 16 passing TD and 8.2 net yards per pass attempt, both rank 31st in the NFL. Hopkins is the unquestioned top receiver play this week.
DraftKings salary: 8,100
WR Kenny Golladay vs. New York (Giants)
A bet against the Giants defense is mostly a bet against their secondary. They’re exploitable across the board and are the perfect matchup to get Golladay back on track after last week’s one-target anomaly. He’s had at least 8 targets in every other game and at least 1 red zone target in 5 of 7 games. His 660 air yards ranked 8th in the NFL. Don’t let last week’s slow game block your blessings this week, Golladay is one of the top wide receiver plays this week.
DraftKings salary: 6,400
WR Tyler Boyd @Los Angeles (Rams)
Boyd remains the focal point of the Bengals offense as his 74 targets rank 3rd in the NFL. Due to a struggling run game and a penchant for getting behind in games, his volume will remain as secure as it gets. He operates primarily out of the slot so he’ll avoid new Rams stud corner Jalen Ramsey more often that not. Whether it be Nickell Robey Coleman or Troy Hill, he’ll have a pretty nice size advantage. With the Rams and Bengals being top 5 teams in pace I’ll take the over on Andy Dalton attempting 40 passes, which means a healthy amount will be coming in Boyd’s direction.
DraftKings salary: 5,100
TE Hunter Henry @ Chicago
Henry followed up a 100-yard return to the lineup with a 97-yard performance on 6 catches. With their run game struggling and Keenan Allen looking like an iffy option due to a hamstring injury, Henry is looking like he’ll see double digit targets and valuable red zone looks. He’ll push for the top spot at tight end this week.
DraftKings salary: 4,900
Flex Ty Johnson vs. New York (Giants)
In hopes of having a tournament lineup that stands out we’re going Lions triple stack. After watching Chase Edmonds looked like Walter Payton last week versus this Giants defense, I’d be hard pressed not to try the explosive Maryland product. While a feature role isn’t a given, he did play 64% of the snaps after Kerryon Johnson went down last week and led the team with 14 touches. A repeat of that could pay big dividends in this spot.
DraftKings salary: 4,900
Defense Chargers @ Chicago
Staying on brand here and i think I’ve got another cheap defense hit. The Bears offense has been about as dangerous as a water gun with Mitchell Trubisky at the controls. The one weapon he’s done real damage with is Allen Robinson and he’ll likely be shadowed by Casey Hayward. Matt Nagy mentioned last week that the Bears need to run the ball more and I suspect they’ll try but Chicago’s offensive line is ranked 29th in adjusted line yards per football outsiders, making that a tricky proposition as well. I’ll take my chances.
DraftKings salary: 2,300