Week 8…what could have been. Matt Stafford to Kenny Golladay was the strong combo I anticipated. Stafford threw for 342 yards and 3 TDs on the day (27.38 points), and two of them went to Golladay who had 123 yards receiving (32.30). DeAndre Hopkins stayed hot with 11 catches for 109 yards (24.90 points). Chris Carson did his normal yeoman’s work, 90 rushing yards and a TD (15 points) and Tyler Boyd was solid, with six catches for 65 yards (12.80 points). The Chargers kept my playable cheap defense run going with a solid nine points.
Now you can imagine my disappointment (ANGER) when the Lions decided to start Tra Carson and give him 12 carries to Ty Johnson’s 7. Johnson still out-snapped him for the game, but Matt Patricia’s insistence on having a committee did him no favors. He ended up with just 38 total yards in what looked like a gorgeous spot. Speaking of failing in gorgeous spots, Sony Michel ran for 74 touchdown-less yards and Hunter Henry had his slowest game since returning to the lineup with four catches for 47 yards.
The lineup finished with 142.28 points. Back on the hunt for that money lineup in week 9.
QB Philip Rivers vs. Green Bay
The Packers started the year looking like a potential stand out pass defense, but they’ve faltered over the last month. Their 7.8 yards per attempt allowed is 8th worst in the NFL. They’ve allowed over 10 yards per attempt in two of their last four games.
As long as the Chargers offensive line remains as talent-deficient as it is, they won’t have much of a shot moving the ball on the ground. Especially with Melvin Gordon plodding to the tune of 2.5 yards per carry. I’m anticipating that Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense stay hot, forcing Rivers to the air to keep up. As long as Keenan Allen and Mike Williams don’t drop TDs again this week, he has a chance to come through in what is an ugly QB main slate.
DraftKings salary: 5,100
RB Dalvin Cook @ Kansas City
I’m sure I’ve said this before but salute to whoever bet on Dalvin Cook as a 1st round pick this year. He’s rewarded those folks with matchup-proof play in 2019, but a great matchup certainly doesn’t hurt matters. The Chiefs allow 4.9 yards per carry, tied for worst in the NFL. They also allow the 4th most points per game to the position. Salary is the only obstacle here.
DraftKings salary: 9,500
RB Jaylen Samuels vs. Indianapolis
Bodies are falling around Samuels, leaving him with a sizeable workload versus the Colts this week. The Colts have actually been solid versus RBs this season (8th least points per game to the position) but not to the point that we’re letting this price opportunity get by us. Volume > Matchup almost every time.
DraftKings salary: 4,000
WR Davante Adams @ Los Angeles (Chargers)
Adams looks likely to return to the lineup this week and he’ll be welcomed back by top corner Casey Hayward. Adams is no stranger to beating tough matchups (see all of 2018) and I’m not shying away from him in this one. None of the young wide receivers stepped to the forefront in Adams’ absence. In fact, Aaron Jones leads the team in targets. Look for Adams to take a nice slice of the target pie right off the bat in a correlation play with our QB.
DraftKings salary: 7,100
WR Keenan Allen vs. Green Bay
The game stack continues here as I pair Rivers with his top target in Allen. Reports had Keenan ticketed for smaller role as he battled through injury last week and he still ended up with 11 targets. 36-year-old slot corner Tramon Williams has played well this season but not to the level that I’m running away from him in a matchup versus one of the league’s best receivers and the Chargers’ best vehicle to moving the ball.
DraftKings salary: 6,400
WR Marvin Jones @ Oakland
Kenny Golladay went off for 132 yards and 2 TDs and that ran his salary up to 7,700 this week. Marvin Jones is at 6,000 with only eight fewer targets and three more catches than him on the season. Both are great plays this week versus a Raiders secondary giving up the 5th most yards per game to receivers, so we’ll just opt to save some cash here.
DraftKings salary: 6,000
TE Cameron Brate @ Seattle
Brate was a popular cheap tight end play last week when O.J. Howard was ruled out with a hamstring injury. He may not have hit big from a statistical standpoint, but there were encouraging signs. He played 66% percent and had six targets. Brate is still at a price point where you’re usually begging for four targets, but he could safely get double that with the potential for looks inside the 10.
DraftKings salary: 3,100
Flex Allen Robinson @P hiladelphia
ARob remains the lone consistent threat on the Bears offense. He’s had no fewer than seven targets and four catches in any game this season and he’ll now face the notoriously leaky Eagles CB group. David Montgomery ran for 135 yards last week but good luck replicating that versus Philly. The Eagles suffocate running games (3.4 yards per carry) making it very likely that the Bears will be forced to the air for success. Fire Robinson up this week.
DraftKings salary: 6,800
Defense Washington @ Buffalo
I’m fully aware that I’m probably going too far but here we are. Since the firing of Jay Gruden and the renewed focus on running the football, Washington’s defense has allowed 14 points per game, including holding the 49ers to nine points (in ugly weather) and the Vikings to 19. The Bills are 23rd in fantasy points per game to RBs and allow 4.4 yards per carry…susceptible enough that Washington can continue their quest to play keep away. They also have a somewhat respectable pass rush (17th in adjusted sack rate). It’s kinda gross but sometimes concessions need to be made to get enough studs in your lineup and differentiate yourself from the field. Safe to say this is VERY different.
DraftKings salary: 1,800