Despite Week 10 in the NFL being devoid of some typical big time fantasy players in Tom Brady, Deshaun Watson, DeAndre Hopkins, Carson Wentz, Leonard Fournette, Courtland Sutton (you get what I’m driving at here, there’s a ton of good players on a bye week), you can still form a palatable lineup for this week in your season long leagues and DFS!
But first, a look at our Ravens are where they fall on the spectrum this week…
I don’t think there’s a secret here when it comes to keeping these players in your starting lineups. Lamar will continue to shine, Mark Ingram will continue to be fed the ball, and Mark Andrews, despite limited love last week versus the Patriots, will again see a heavy volume of targets against the Bengals (he had eight targets, six receptions, and 99 yards in Week 6 vs Cincy).
Sleeper: Gus Edwards, Hollywood Brown
Gus has been stealing some Goal-to-go touches from Ingram in recent games (scoring last week versus the Patriots), giving him some boom-or-bust love. If the game gets out of control in the second half, we may see more Gus and less Ingram too, which could boost those fantasy numbers further.
Hollywood, while some may not call him a sleeper, really is. He’s been on the pine for weeks with an ankle injury and he’s clearly not back to full health yet but take a look at the Bengals in recent weeks: Dede Westbrook (6/9/103) and Cooper Kupp (7/10/220/1) have gone crazy of their defense, and this could be Hollywood’s week to shine his brightest since Week 1 versus Miami.
Ew, gross: Every wideout not named Hollywood Brown
Listen. We all want a Miles Boykin breakout game, and we’d love contributions from the rest of the wide receiver corps, but it’s just not happening. Somebody may steal a touchdown, but if any of the receivers garner more than five fantasy points I’d be shocked. And yes, that includes Willie Snead, who is averaging just 4 fantasy points per game (PPR) in his last four.
Let’s take a quick look around the NFL at the other keepers, sleepers, and guys you’ll need to park on the bench.
Byeeee: Broncos, Pats, Jags, Eagles, Skins, Texans
Keeper: Drew Brees vs Falcons
Brees looked great in his return against the Cards. Then he got an extra week of rest. And oh, by the way, the Falcons have given up 19 passing touchdowns. What’s not to love?
Sleeper: Daniel Jones vs Jets
Jones basically has one great game this season, a couple good ones, but a bunch of duds marred by turnovers. I keep waiting for him to turn it on consistently, and we’ve yet to see it… but here comes his time to shine once again, as he faces a porous Jets defense on Sunday. If Jones can control his fumblitis (8 in the past three games) expect something closer to the 322-yard, 4-TD performance he had a few weeks back against the Lions, and less like last weeks stinker against Dallas (210 yards, 1 TD, 3 TOs).
Ew, gross: Matt Stafford vs Bears
I’m typically a big Stafford fan, especially in fantasy. The longtime Lions signal caller gets a bad rap because of the dreaded W-L record (team stat, but thank his D for that one), but he tends to put up good numbers in terms of fantasy, and always gives his team a chance. Stafford has busted out 1,112 yards, 10 touchdowns and three picks in the past three games, but this week against the Bears? Forget about it. The Lions have become closer to a one-dimensional team after the loss of Kerryon Johnson, and Chicago will be pinning their ears back to keep their streak of keeping QBs under 300 passing yards alive.
Keeper: Marlon Mack vs Fins
The Dolphins have allowed 1,201 rushing yards and eight touchdowns on the season thus far, and it looks like Jacoby Brissett is riding pine this week, likely leading to a heavy dose of Mack against the Fins 4.7 yard per carry defense. A match made in heaven for fantasy owners.
Sleeper: Kareem Hunt vs Bills
Sigh… so, this is a DEEP sleep, and maybe reach, and full disclosure – Gus Edwards is a less risky sleeper here. With Hunt returning from the “I’m an POS” suspension list, he’ll likely see some love against the Bills this week. Yes, the Bills have a good defense, but they’ve also given up 556 rushing yards and six rushing TDs in the past four games. The Browns have proven they can run the ball well with Nick Chubb, and perhaps Freddie Kitchens finally realizes they need a run-first offense that will utilize both Chubb and Hunt. If if if so… then Hunt has sleeper value.
Ew, gross: Todd Gurley vs Steelers
Gurley is extremely touchdown dependent this season, having failed to hit the century mark in rushing yards in any game. As he goes up against a Steelers defense that hasn’t allowed a 100+ yard rusher this season and only four rushing touchdowns (Jeff Wilson 2, Rashad Penny, Mark Ingram) I expect a dud from Gurley this week.
Keeper: Michael Thomas vs Falcons
Is this a lazy take because I already had Brees in my keeper status? Sure it is. But Thomas didn’t skip much of a beat with Teddy Bridgewater under center over the past month and change, and upon Brees’ return to the lineup last week, Thomas put up an 11/11/112/1 line. This week, a stellar matchup against the Falcons should give you more of the same and I’m all over this one in DFS at any cost.
Sleeper: Josh Reynolds vs Steelers
Brandin Cooks went down last week with a concussion, which opened the door for Reynolds. Three catches (eight targets) 73 yards and a 31-yard touchdown reception later, Reynolds looked legit. With Cooks down again this week, look for Reynolds to capitalize on the opportunity once again.
Ew, gross: Tyler Boyd vs Ravens
With A.J. Green confirmed out once again, Tyler Boyd is likely to draw the Marlon Humphrey lock down matchup. Hump, as we know in Baltimore, has been beyond impressive in his coverage this season. Expect nothing less on Sunday as he keeps Boyd in check (oh, and the rookie QB Finley won’t help his cause, either).
Keeper: Darren Waller vs Bolts
Waller (one of many Ravens-drafted TEs to thrive in the NFL) is having a season. Just three weeks removed from a blow up 100+ yard/two-touchdown game, Waller has cooled a bit (62 yards, 1 TD combined last two weeks) but a good matchup against a Chargers defense that’s given up 11 receptions of the last 14 TE targets should be beneficial for the Raiders Tight End.
Sleeper: Mike Gesicki vs Colts
It’s not the matchup that I love, but the usage: Gesicki was 6-for-6 with 95 yards last week versus the Jets. I think the confidence is building in the 2nd year tight end for Ryan Fitzpatrick, and we’ll see a similar amount of targets this week, if not more with his top passing target, Preston Williams, now on the IR.
Ew, gross: Jimmy Graham vs Panthers
Last week I told you Jimmy was reverting to garbage after Davante Adams returned, and he proved me… kinda wrong? Four targets was more than I expected, but 17 yards was right on par. This week, the Panthers prove a tougher matchup for Graham, and I’m calling a blank on his stat sheet this week.
Keeper: Rams @ Steelers
Pittsburgh will be without James Conner again, and the Rams will be the best defense they’ve seen over the past four weeks of their winning streak. As a fan of the Rams D, and a fan of the Ravens, I’m elated to see Aaron Donald blow up their momentum.
Sleeper: Giants vs Jets
Sam Darnold has been just downright awful. But it’s not just Sam – it’s the entire Jets offense. The Giants may not be a defensive juggernaut by any means, but this week’s matchup should put them in top-10 fantasy defenses.
Ew, gross: Bengals vs Ravens
I know the last meeting was close, but I’m expecting the Ravens offense – riding high after two big wins versus the Seahawks and Pats – to explode this weekend in Cincy.
As always, it’s a crap shoot. Throw a dart, go with the flow.