That Marvin Jones call was clutch wasn’t it? Eight catches for 126 yards and a TD, 29.60 points! Good times…now on to week 10!
Kidding, but whew, last week was really bad. The Packers went west and pulled a Chargers versus the Chargers. The game I figured would be a shootout turned into a Melvin Gordon get right game – who does that? My Philip Rivers-Keenan Allen-Davante Adams game stack didn’t even put up 30 points between them.
Dalvin Cook had 116 total yards but this was a bad week for him not to score TDs (15.60 points). Cameron Brate played 11 snaps and didn’t receive a SINGLE TARGET. Allen Robinson got Trubisky’d (1 catch for 6 yards) and my cheap defense streak ended with Washington (2 points). Jaylen Samuels’ 20.30 points look good but it was a byproduct of a Mason Rudolph check down fest, as he only had 10 yards rushing. The lineup finished with 98.96 points.
Nowhere to go from here but up! On to week 10.
QB Matt Ryan @ New Orleans
Matt Ryan returns to action after missing Week 8 due to an ankle injury. He’ll be tasked with trying to keep up with a suddenly full-strength Saints offense. Before leaving Week 7’s game with the injury, Ryan had thrown for at least 300 yards in every game. He also threw at least 2 TD passes in all but one game prior to that. Factoring in the inevitable chase on the scoreboard, the Saints’ strong run defense (3.7 yards per carry) and 21st ranking in fantasy points per game allowed to QBs, it’s a safe bet that Ryan will have another strong statistical day.
DraftKings salary: 6,100
RB Christian McCaffrey @ Green Bay
Remember I said the Packers put Melvin Gordon back on track? Well now their 4.89 yards per carry allowed get to the chance to try to slow the most indestructible force in fantasy. I know the price tag is significant, but the hope is that keeps his ownership in check.
DraftKings salary: 10,500
RB Alvin Kamara vs. Atlanta
Kamara is returning to action, fully healthy after a 3-week absence. One of the only things the Falcons have done well this season is defend running backs but calling Kamara just a running back would be disingenuous. Even if Latavius Murray remains heavily involved, Sean Payton has always schemed Kamara a healthy amount of touches whether that be as a runner or receiver. 15-20 of those are as good as gold versus the NFL’s 30th ranked scoring defense.
DraftKings salary: 8,200
WR Christian Kirk @ Tampa Bay
Tied for the highest team total on this week’s slate, Arizona/Tampa Bay has real shootout potential with both defenses bottom 10 in adjusted yards gained per pass attempt. The Bucs continue to strangle opposing running games (3.3 yards per carry allowed) which is sure to funnel a few more targets to an already strong 23% percent target share for Kirk. After watching Tyler Lockett dust this secondary last week, I couldn’t help myself.
DraftKings salary: 5,200
WR Marquise Brown @ Cincinnati
Hollywood returned to action and found some production (3 catches for 48 yards) despite a run-heavy game script and being shadowed by stud CB Stephon Gilmore. Neither of those factors should hamper Brown this week (at least not to the same degree) as he heads to Cincy to face the banged-up Bengals secondary. Even if the Ravens are extremely run heavy, Brown’s target share (23%) and their focus on scheming him touches make him extremely viable this week. He’s a big play waiting to happen and the Bengals’ 13.7 yards per completion allowed is the worst in the NFL. He should be a core play for your lineups this week.
DraftKings salary: 5,100
WR Darius Slayton @ New York (Jets)
Slayton was a full-time player last week playing 93% percent of the snaps last week filling in for an injured Sterling Shepard. Shepard will again miss this week but he’ll be joined on the sideline by tight end Evan Engram. Engram will be replaced in the lineup by statuesque blocker, Rhett Ellison who isn’t a bet to soak up much volume versus the Jets top 5 defense versus tight ends. They do however give up the 5th most receptions per game to wide receivers. I like Slayton’s chances to get 8 to 10 targets and with his lid-lifting speed versus a flammable CB group he could hit big.
DraftKings salary: 4,200
TE Tyler Eifert vs. Baltimore
Eifert had his most extensive playing time (60 snaps) and most targets (9) of the season in the Bengals last game. Another thing working in Eifert’s favor is a healthy and more talented CB group for the Ravens. When these teams faced off in Week 6, Marlon Humphrey made life difficult on Tyler Boyd (3 catches for 10 yards on 7 targets). Auden Tate picked up most of the slack (5 catches for 91 yards on 11 targets) but that was without an injured Jimmy Smith and before the Ravens acquisition of Marcus Peters. Volume is always a concern with Baltimore’s penchant for long drives but I like Eifert’s chances at cashing in his near minimum salary with the potential for extra looks being funneled his way.
DraftKings salary: 3,000
Flex Devin Singletary @ Cleveland
We might have witnessed Singletary’s feature back crowning versus Washington last week. He turned 23 touches into 140 total yards and a touchdown. He has a chance to build on that this week facing the hapless Browns, who are giving up 4.93 yards per carry and will be without Olivier Vernon. Singletary will be popular, but the upside is way too high for me to pass up at this price.
DraftKings salary: 5,000
Defense Chiefs vs. Tennessee
This one is pretty straight forward for me. Kansas City’s defensive line is 8th in adjusted sack rate while the Titans offensive line is 31st. Sure there is reason to question just how effective Mahomes will be coming off injury but if he’s anywhere near the level he was before his injury I think it’s safe to say the Titans will be dropping back a lot in the 2nd half.
DraftKings salary: 2,700