Despite last week being one so brutal that Kalen Ballage was one of the week’s top finishers at the running back position, we had a solid bounce back week. If it wasn’t for injuries taking out a solid chunk of our picks, we would have hit on around 70% of our players. Literally both of my fire picks for the RB position were knocked out of the game in their 1st or 2nd drive. If it wasn’t for a Ravens win saving the day, highlighted by Philip Rivers tripping himself and making the sorriest excuse of an attempted tackle I have ever seen, I’d still be hungover writing this right now. Lastly, I gotta give a shoutout to our boy Joe Flacco throwing deep dimes down the field for long TD completions to Jamison Crowder and embarrassingly, Breshad Perriman.
Enough BS-ing. Let’s get into some Week 10 action!
Ravens-Pats Fantasy Outlook
With Mark Ingram likely returning this week and neither Gus Edwards or J.K. Dobbins making enough of a case to be the #1 RB in this crowded backfield, I expect him to get the bulk of carries and will have goal-line opportunities against a Patriots defense that is 25th against opposing fantasy RB’s. Considering the Patriots almost lost to the Jets, I’m pretty confident that this game script is gonna favor the Ravens run game.
For the second consecutive week, Jakobi Myers saw double-digit targets. Against Baltimore’s defense that is good in all facets of the game (4th vs fantasy WR), we have to go with the opportunity that Myers receives. With Calais Campbell out, Cam Newton will likely have an extra second or two to escape the pocket or wait for routes to develop. They’re gonna have to throw to keep up with the Ravens this week, so Myers isn’t a bad look.
I’m sure this will end up burning me the same way it always does when I mention Hollywood, but I am not starting him in fantasy until this offense can show me that they are able to utilize Marquise Brown the right way. He has the speed to get past Stephon Gilmore if he returns, but I am just done with Brown until further notice. Bill Belichick is too smart to let Brown run wild on his defense especially after Monday night’s embarrassing performance.
As we know, Baltimore is the best defense in the league against fantasy RBs. The game script is just really bad for Patriots running backs. Especially Damien Harris, who has been targeted a mere two times the entire season, his last target coming in Week 7. Expect the Patriots to utilize Rex Burkhead and James White more often this week, especially on passing downs. You can chalk Harris up to be a sure bust this week.
Streamin’ Round the League
QB: Jared Goff
Jared Goff is going against the league’s absolute worst defense against opposing fantasy QBs. While Goff averaged between 30-40 pass attempts per game most of the season, he threw the ball 61 times in their most recent game in Week 8 against the Dolphins. There is no doubt that the Rams will need to be very pass heavy if they want any kind of shot at competing with the Seahawks. It is also a possibility that the Seahawks top CB, Shaquille Griffin, will miss this game as well. Goff is someone that will be on most waiver wires. So, if your QB has a bye or an ugly matchup, you can confidently throw in Goff as a spot start this week.
RB: J.D McKissic
J.D. McKissic is the Washington Football Team’s primary 3rd down back. While he won’t get anywhere close to the amount of carries that Antonio Gibson is given, he is utilized in an even better way for fantasy. With Alex Smith under center last game, McKissic received FOURTEEN TARGETS! For comparison, that ties Alvin Kamara for the most targets to a RB in a single game this season. McKissic isn’t just a great under-the-radar stream. He will likely be a reliable flex option for the rest of the season, with Alex Smith projected to be the starting QB for the rest of the year. Go grab this guy!
WR: Darnell Mooney
If the Bears had any sort of quality QB under center, Darnell Mooney would be a weekly viable option, as he is emerging as one of the top options on his team. This week, Mooney gets to feast on the Vikings atrocious defense that allows the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing WRs. If the Vikings can get things rolling on offense and get ahead, this could turn into a pass heavy game for the Bears, especially with RBs David Montgomery and Tarik Cohen out. Mooney received 11 targets against the Titans last week. I expect a similar game script this week. He is one of the safer options this week that is likely available in your league.
TE: Irv Smith Jr.
Irv Smith Jr. is coming off a HOT game, where he scored two touchdowns (his first of the season). He is a very talented player. He just is often overshadowed by Dalvin Cook, Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson. If the Vikings have finally realized the type of player they have in Smith, they should utilize him often against this tough Bears defense, which is top 10 across the board, except for against fantasy TE’s where they give up the 29th most fantasy points.
Fire & Ice
The Fire Squad are players I project to most likely out-perform their projection (besides the elite studs). The Ice Squad are players I project to most likely under-perform or bust this week.
QB: Jared Goff
RB: Antonio Gibson
RB: Kareem Hunt
WR: Robert Woods
WR: Will Fuller
TE: Jordan Reed
QB: Cam Newton
RB: Derrick Henry
RB: Damien Harris
WR: DeVante Parker
WR: Marvin Jones
TE: Hunter Henry