The King of DraftKings ~ Week 12

Fantasy The King of DraftKings ~ Week 12

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Made the following lineup pivots after injury news on Sunday…

Welp, on to week 12! Lol

Now as much as I’d like to forget last week, I won’t duck out like that. I knew my WFT-Bengals stack was risky and not only did it end up being low-scoring affair, but Joe Burrow was knocked out of the game early with a torn ACL. The five-man stack only netted 51.62 points total.

Dalvin Cook was his normal ultra-productive self with 160 total yards and 1 TD (29 DK points) while Miles Sanders didn’t give us enough flash w/81 total yards and no TDs (10.10 DK points).

I felt Jakeem Grant was falling under the radar and the Dolphins defense has been on a nice scoring streak. Factoring in the double TD return appeal of this stack I liked the upside. That upside amounted to 8.50 points total.

As a whole the lineup posted a forgettable 99.22 DK points which is disappointing but squarely on the table when you take risks. I’ll continue to take chances with the hopes of a big payday on the horizon.

QB Philip Rivers vs. Tennessee

Going off the beaten path at QB this week. Rivers has been mostly pedestrian statistically this season, but he has had a couple blow ups. This week presents a good opportunity for another.

The movement-challenged Rivers should be pretty comfortable versus the Titans defense, ranked 30th in the NFL in sack percentage. Whether it’s 3rd down conversion % (32nd), TD passes allowed (26th) or passing yards per game (27th)…Rivers has a lot going in his favor in this one.

If that wasn’t enough, the Colts defense is super banged up, heightening the chances of a shootout. With DeForest Buckner, Denico Autry and Bobby Okereke all slated to be out of the lineup, the Colts will need points to hang with a good Titans offense.

DraftKings salary: 6,100

RB Derrick Henry @Indianapolis

Speaking of the banged-up Colts defense…I know I haven’t been able to hit on Derrick Henry blow up games in a while but I’m no quitter. Especially when said injuries are right down the middle of the Indy defense. Also, guard Rodger Saffold also seems to be on track to return this week which would be a boon to the offensive line.

Henry plays are pretty straightforward…he’ll get 20 carries regardless and he won’t catch many passes, but can he rip off the signature long runs and TD’s to make him worth it? We hope so.

DraftKings salary: 7,900

RB Nyheim Hines vs. Tennessee

It’s tough to find a stacking partner for Rivers in the Colts WR and TE groups because of how much the ball gets spread around. That pushes me to Hines in a game I think could have some back and forth to it.

You only have to go back to these two teams’ week 10 matchup for Hines’ best game of the year. He had 70 yards on 12 carries with a rushing TD and caught five of six targets for another 45 yards and a receiving TD.

Even with Jonathan Taylor dominating the touch opportunities last week, Hines still played 28 snaps and has been a staple for the Colts in the red zone as a runner and receiver. For a game with a 51.5-point total that I think could sneakily go over, I like Hines’ chances of hitting.

DraftKings salary: 4,600

WR Stephon Diggs vs. Los Angeles (Chargers)

Diggs has been tremendous this year, averaging 90 yards per game. He doesn’t need much help getting his but with John Brown ruled out for this game, Diggs’ ceiling is suddenly higher.

In the two games Brown has missed this year, Diggs turned a BIG 27 targets into a 16-154-0 line.

This game’s 52.5-point total is a conservative one in my estimation. Justin Herbert vs. Josh Allen figures to be as fun as any game on the slate and yield plenty of points. Casey Hayward and Melvin Ingram already being ruled out for the Chargers defense is like pouring gasoline on an already healthy flame. Diggs will be a core play for me this week.

DraftKings salary: 7,600

WR Mike Evans vs. Kansas City

Grabbing a piece from another potential shootout. It’s kinda tough to differentiate in this Bucs WR group. They all get pretty solid volume but two things stand out for me with Evans. Over the last few games Evans has seen his slot snaps bumped up in an attempt to get him more higher-percentage looks. He’s also been a red zone priority with 11 red zone targets in the last four games and he’s reached the end zone in each of the last two games.

This game has a 55.5-point total and Evans is on the shortlist of highest upside players in the game

DraftKings salary: 6,100

WR Andy Isabella @ New England

With slot snap hog Larry Fitzgerald on the Covid list, Isabella figures to be near a full-time player in a shockingly good matchup versus a Bill Belichick led defense.

In his most expansive role of the season in Week 4, Isabella but up a 4-47-2 line versus Detroit. He’ll now get to line up versus slot weak link Jonathan Jones versus a Patriots defense that give up a league worst 12.6 yards per completion.

At his minimum price it won’t take much for him to pay off his price, but he carries a good deal of upside as well.

DraftKings salary: 3,000

TE Hunter Henry @ Buffalo

Correlating with my Diggs play. Keenan Allen would be the obvious run back, but he’ll be popular and more importantly as it pertains to this lineup, expensive.

Henry’s 6.5 targets per game feel like 65 with how bad the TE position has been this year. After getting sniped for TD’s by every TE or FB on the Chargers roster…Henry has scored in each of the last two games.

The matchup this week is a great one as only the Falcons give up more DK points per game than the Bills. With this game seemingly destined to shootout and Mike Williams slated to see an albeit not a good as last year but still good Tre’Davious White, Henry should have a healthy target share in a great game environment.

DraftKings salary: 4,800

Flex Travis Kelce @ Tampa Bay

Correlating with Evans here and going outside the box with the double TE lineup here…technically. Kelce is top 10 in the NFL in targets, receptions per game and yards per game…regardless of position. The Bucs have been good versus receivers this year but middling versus tight ends (17th most DK points per game).

Not really a lot of convincing required to play one of the most productive players in fantasy.

DraftKings salary: 7,000

Defense Bengals Def vs. New York (Giants) 

I expect some to be on Daniel Jones this week, and I’m sure I’ll have one Jones lineup myself but with his feast or famine style of play I couldn’t let this bargain pass me, especially not on black Friday.  

Jones has nine interceptions and seven fumbles (five lost) on the season…so a 3-4 turnover meltdown is always in play. Even if the turnovers don’t get there, only the Bears and Jets score fewer points per game than the Giants at 19 per game. The Bengals defense doesn’t have much bite but they allow you to do some things with your lineup at this price point.

DraftKings salary: 2,500

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Carey Stevenson

About Carey Stevenson

Carey is a driven sports enthusiast from Norfolk, Virginia. He's looked upon by all his friends and family as an advisor, provider of on the spot scouting reports and the occasional dusting off of the old crystal ball. He is a loyal and devoted Ravens fan that spends countless hours in his war room/bedroom going over tape, scouting reports and potential free agents as if he's actually the one making draft and game day decisions. He's a sports management major that looks forward to the day that he may actually be called upon to make some of the decisions he analyzes as if life depended on it. He is a critical yet rational thinker that is always in search of more knowledge about the game.  More from Carey Stevenson
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