Last week’s lineup had a couple definitive victories. With Allen Robinson entangled with Jaire Alexander…Darnell Mooney put up a 11-93-1 line on 13 targets (20.30 points). Jeff Wilson only had 88 total yards but scored two TDs (23.80 points).
Then there was the close-but-no-cigar portion of the lineup..Matt Ryan had three total TDs but getting to a gaudier yardage total and the 300 yard bonus would’ve been nice (23.70). One of those TDs went to Hayden Hurst, which saved a four-catch 28-yard day (12.80 points). Myles Gaskin had 77 total yards and a TD but the Dolphins getting smoked hurt his chances to build on his yardage totals (17.70 points).
Then there was the letdown crew…The eight catches for Calvin Ridley were good but the 58 receiving yards and a fumble were not (11.60 points). I guess I overestimated the power of Wolford as Robert Woods ended up with just four catches for 36 yards (7.60 points). I thought about pivoting away from Corey Davis as it was possible the Titans could have little to play for by the time their game kicked off…turns out they were motivated to play for 2K for Derrick Henry…leaving Davis with a 5-39-0 line (8.90 points). The Browns defense ended the shame as they could only muster three points against a Mason Rudolph-led Steelers offense.
We close out the regular season with a disappointing 129.40 points, but the fun isn’t over yet! We have a playoff run to make. With DraftKings giving more juice to these separate three-game slates I decided to two lineups this week: one for Saturday and one for Sunday with more of a cliff notes version compared to my usual breakdowns. I hope you all enjoy and special thanks to everyone who takes time out to check out these lineups each week. It’s much appreciated.
QB Josh Allen vs. Indianapolis
He’ll be popular but he’s got the highest upside on the Saturday slate and the matchup gets a bump if Rock Ya-Sin and/or Deforest Bucker can’t go. I’ll try to get different elsewhere.
DraftKings salary: 7,500
RB Cam Akers @ Seattle
Seemingly very questionable to play last week but ended with a boatload of touches. This game seems destined to be played in the teens so I don’t want much from it but I’ll take the volume at the price.
DraftKings salary: 5,100
RB Nyheim Hines @ Buffalo
Jordan Wilkins hasn’t been around to play 3rd wheel so Hines gets all the non-JT work. Projecting the Colts to play from behind in this one so I can scoop up ppr points and pivot away from Jonathan Taylor all in one swoop.
DraftKings salary: 4,700
WR Stephon Diggs vs. Indianapolis
A duh play. If I’m playing Josh Allen, I’m definitely playing the guy he targeted 166 times this season.
DraftKings salary: 7,700
WR Chris Godwin @ Washington
Tampa has a good offensive line but I think the Chase Young-led 7th-ranked-adjusted-sack-rate Washington Football team can force some quick throws…giving Godwin an edge in an offense that can be tough project ceilings from week to week.
DraftKings salary: 7,000
WR John Brown vs. Indianapolis
Definitely wanted to double stack the Bills passing offense but didn’t want to get cute with a secondary option. Ya-Sin being out would be a nice bump for Brown who just prior to the Bills bye and his injury had two 70+-yard games.
DraftKings salary: 4,700
TE Jack Doyle @Buffalo
Now I’m getting cute…I could have triple stacked here but with Doyle playing the most snaps and running the most routes of this TE group and the Bills allowing the 2nd most TE targets in the league, I figured this was a sensible way to get different.
DraftKings salary: 2,900
Flex Terry McLaurin vs. Tampa Bay
The targets should be plentiful even if they aren’t of the downfield variety, especially with the Bucs standout run defense coming to town.
DraftKings salary: 6,300
Defense Rams Def @ Seattle
The Rams DL versus the Seahawks OL might be the biggest mismatch you see all weekend. With Jalen Ramsey shadowing DK Metcalf, suffocating the ceiling of an offense already stuck in neutral..I think the Rams are good value.
DraftKings salary: 2,900
QB Ben Roethlisberger vs. Cleveland
I expect the Steelers to roll against a Covid-compromised Browns team whose more middling pass rush just lost Olivier Vernon for the season. Fresh off of pto, Ben should feast.
DraftKings salary: 6,100
RB Derrick Henry vs. Baltimore
Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry are the biggest ceiling plays on this slate. I’ll have plenty of lineups with them both but I’m choosing to get a little different here.
DraftKings salary: 9,200
RB Latavius Murray vs. Chicago
I like the Saints’ chances of rolling at home as well so going a little cheap home favorite RB here. Murray’s probably good for double-digit carries and some goal line work either way but if they get well ahead, he could approach 16 to 18 carries as a clock killer.
DraftKings salary: 4,500
WR Diontae Johnson vs, Cleveland
Much like the reasoning behind playing Diggs in the Saturday lineup, Diontae is pretty much a lock for double-digit targets if he plays a full game.
DraftKings salary: 6,200
WR Jarvis Landry @ Pittsburgh
Landry should be a busy man on Sunday and might be the best mid-tier value on the slate. The Steelers will be without Joe Haden on the outside, give up production to slot and I’m projecting them to play from ahead.
DraftKings salary: 5,800
WR Chase Claypool vs. Cleveland
Claypool got back to a decisive hold of the 3rd WR job in Big Ben’s last start and is coming off a 100-yard game versus a vulnerable-looking Browns secondary.
DraftKings salary: 5,200
TE Eric Ebron vs. Cleveland
Going all Steelers everything in a matchup versus a Cleveland defense that has given up the 6th most targets to TE’s this year. Ebron is off the Covid list and went 5-47-1 in his last action. Even if he doesn’t boom, he’ll be involved enough to pay off his price tag while allowing us a chance to get different with the Steelers triple stack.
DraftKings salary: 3,700
Flex Marquise Brown @ Tennessee
Rotoworld’s CD Carter pointed out that the Titans have allowed 70% percent of their yardage thru the air this season. Hollywood has six TDs in the last six games and lit up this Titans defense in last year’s playoffs.
DraftKings salary: 5,400
Defense New Orleans Def vs. Chicago
I couldn’t work in the big dogs in the Saints passing game into this lineup so I’m going to pivot toward a cheaper RB-DEF stack in hopes that they jump way ahead and can pin their ears back and force Mitch Trubisky into some mistakes.
DraftKings salary: 3,800