Championship Game Picks

The Back Door Cover Championship Game Picks

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My Picks

Last Week: 4-0

Playoffs: 6-3-1 (66.7%)

Overall: 51-43-4 (54.3%)

BDC Lock of the Week

Last Week: 1-0

Overall: 12-6-1 (66.7%)

Divisional Whiffs

— Not…Applicable… It feels good to be able to say that (though of course I wish I had been wrong about the Ravens…)

Here are the ATS Standings for the remaining teams left in the playoffs:

As always, the most important thing you’ll read:

Disclaimer: Please do not take these picks and expect to make any real money.  I enjoy picking games and the discussions they create so feel free to play along.  I will provide information for each game, but please make your own decisions and BE RESPONSIBLE!

Feel free to play along, tell me where I’m wrong, post your own picks, or just enjoy the read. Let’s roll into my personal favorite round of the playoffs: Conference Championship week.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-3, o/u 54.0)

When I watch this Bills team, I get that “team of destiny” feeling. Things are breaking their way and they’re making the necessary plays to win close games. After facing the run-heavy offense of Baltimore last week, they’ll get the flip side of the coin in the Chiefs in the AFC Championship.

The Chiefs could get a little help this week with Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Sammy Watkins returning. They are both listed as questionable, but would be major boosts to the Chiefs’ offense.

Ultimately, I think Buffalo wins this game. Kansas City has been flirting with disaster for weeks now (1-8 ATS over their last nine games). It will be close and have everyone biting their nails, but the Bills will punch their ticket to the Super Bowl.

Bills 30-27.

There is no group of fans more deserving of a Super Bowl berth than Bills Mafia. The outpouring of support for not only Lamar Jackson, but other players and their charities across the NFL has been incredibly generous and something they should be commended for. This Ravens fan is a Bills fan this week.

The Bills are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Since Week 8, Kansas City has a -.2 home point differential and is giving up 23.2 points per game in those contests.

My Pick: Buffalo +3

BDC Lock of the Week

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers (-3.5, o/u 51.5)

I get this feeling that her majesty would love nothing more than to make it to this Super Bowl and really stick it to Bill Belichick.

Tampa’s defense has started to play to the level we expected earlier in the year. They turned the Saints over three times on Sunday and were one of the main reasons the Bucs find themselves in this position. On the offensive side of the ball, Tampa Bay has more than enough firepower to keep up with the Pack.

If you’ve followed along this season, you know that I’m an idiot and I’ve been dogging the Packers. They’ve made me pay time and time again but I’m a glutton for punishment so here we are again…

Tampa Bay wins outright 24-20.

Tampa Bay has won seven straight road games by an average of 16 points. The Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine playoff games.

My Pick: Tampa Bay +3.5

Good luck in the Conference Championships!

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About Drew Kordula

I was born and raised in Baltimore. I'm a graduate of Eastern Tech and UMBC. Baltimore/Maryland sports have always been a huge part of my life. Whether it be going to University of Maryland Football games with my dad as a kid, or climbing to the top of Mt. M&T Bank Stadium for my seats in section 540 today. I'm a Joe Flacco apologist, Buck Showalter groupie, and Wild Bill Hagy disciple. I love writing about Baltimore sports because I know how passionate of a fan base we have here. Everyone has an opinion and I invite you to share yours on any of my blogs no matter if you agree or disagree. Feel free to follow me on twitter @DrewKordula More from Drew Kordula

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