I don’t know about y’all but that Chiefs game had me smiling ear to ear all day Monday. Rookie Odafe Oweh stole the show with his incredible forced fumble and recovery that sealed the game, leading to the Ravens’ first win against Patrick Mahomes in the Lamar Jackson era! Oweh went on to be named Defensive Player of the Week, deservedly so. It’s always great to see rookies that were doubted show all their haters wrong. Oweh went from having no sacks in his final year of college ball, to getting a sack in his Week 1 NFL debut and following it up with the game saving play in OT. Incredible stuff!
So, about last week… We had some spot on picks like Cooper Kupp BALLING the hell out and Kirk Cousins being a great streaming option. Our fire & ice squads were on point except for our QBs. In an offensive shootout against a bad Dallas defense, Justin Herbert was primed for a career day and shocked analysts and fantasy players across the nation with his poor performance by only passing for one TD and throwing two interceptions. The yardage was there (342 total yards) but he just couldn’t execute in the red zone. Also, who would have seen that Daniel Jones stat line coming?! Jones ran for a career high 95 yards and a TD on just nine carries. Unbelievable. He added 249 passing yards and another TD, compiling a shocking 29 fantasy points against what is (supposed to be) a rock solid Washington defense.
Overall, we didn’t do bad last week, but it didn’t reach my standards by any means. Let’s turn it on for Week 3!
Ravens-Lions Fantasy Preview
Williams continues to impress Ravens fans as well as the analysts with his running ability (6.5 YPC). This game against the Lions has a 50.5 point O/U with the Ravens favored by 7.5 points. The Lions are down two of their starting DB’s which should help pave the way for a solid passing performance, leading to a sizeable lead. The Ravens will give the Lions a heavy dose of the run game. This bodes well for the Ravens’ lead back, Williams. The Lions are dead last in fantasy points allowed to opposing RBs (most likely due to the fact that Aaron Jones racked up a whopping 41 points against them last week!)
While a lot of that came from Jones’ receiving game, the Lions also gave up 16 points to back-up RB Elijah Mitchell in Week 1. This is a bad defense mismatched against what will end up being the league’s best rushing attack. Williams is a set it and forget it player this week.
Swift earns the start ’em spot this week for a couple simple reasons. First, Jared Goff is going to have one hell of a time moving the ball down the field with his arm against the Ravens, especially given his severely lacking receiver corps. T.J. Hockenson was in heavy consideration for the start ’em spot but I believe the Ravens will be giving him extra attention since the other receiving weapons certainly don’t warrant it. Swift likely will not be efficient on the ground, but he will get his fantasy worth this week through the air. Through two weeks, Swift has been targeted 16 times and that hefty volume should continue. The receivers on the Lions won’t be open quick or often enough for Goff to survive in the pocket. This will lead to Swift receiving a lot of dump off passes. Swift is athletic enough to break a huge play on any touch, but his receptions will be enough in PPR for him to be a safe play this week, plus the upside.
After what I consider a disappointing performance against the Chiefs, Sammy is making the sit ’em list. Watkins had a couple bad drops and didn’t do much with the opportunities that he was given. While it’s a good matchup against the Lions, the Ravens won’t have to force the pass game and Hollywood Brown has been far and away the Ravens’ #1 receiver. We might finally be witnessing his breakout season. Anyway, Sammy is the #3 behind Brown and Mark Andrews in a game that won’t require heavy pass volume. Sit him.
Any Detroit pass catcher besides Hockenson
With Tyrell Williams still sidelined, the Lions’ top 2 WR’s consist of 2nd year receiver Quintez Cephus and rookie Amon-Ra St. Brown. While either one of them could end up with a decent fantasy day, there is no telling who it will be, if any. Hockenson is the only trustworthy receiver on this team and I’d be lying if I said I was comfortable playing any other receiver running routes for Goff this week.
Streamin’ Around the League
The rookie is finally getting the start while Andy Dalton is sidelined due to injury, and it couldn’t have come at a better time. Fields will be battling it out against the Browns, who have given up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing QBs. Being seven-point underdogs, Fields will be throwing often. While his accuracy in college was impressive, his rushing ability was more impressive. So when he doesn’t have an option downfield and the Browns dominant pass rush barrels through the trenches, Fields is gonna be BOOKIN’ it. All game long. His rushing alone makes him a very safe option with upside. In the short amount of time Fields started last week, he rushed the ball 10 times. Add to the excitement of the electric rookie’s first start by streaming him this week.
White has received 13 targets through the first two weeks and there is no indication of that stopping any time soon. White serves as a reliable and safe option for rookie QB Mac Jones, who already lacks solid options to pass to. In any game script, White will be a reliable streaming option. If Jameis Winston decides he wants to ball out this week, the Patriots will have a lot of catching up to do which would give White a lot of upside.
To make this short and sweet, I’m betting on Mooney for the seam reason I’m betting on Fields: the game script will likely lead to the Bears needing to pass the ball. Mooney is a talented 2nd year player with elite speed and believe it or not, he has out-snapped Allen Robinson through the first two weeks. Mooney will have enough opportunities in a pass heavy game script from an accurate passer in Fields, who throws a solid deep ball by the way, to have a nice fantasy showing.
The Rams will be pass-heavy this game trying to keep up with Tom Brady and the Bucs’ crazy loaded receiver corps. On top of that, the Rams won’t have an easy time running the ball against the Bucs’ elite defensive line (#2 overall against fantasy RBs). This will undoubtedly be an entertaining shootout and Higbee has a good shot at 5+ targets. I see a bounce back game on the horizon.
Fire & Ice
QB: Jalen Hurts
RB: Austin Ekeler
WR: Chris Godwin
TE: Kyle Pitts
QB: Aaron Rodgers
RB: Darrell Henderson
WR: Terry McLaurin
TE: Robert Tonyan