My Picks
Last Week: 2-3 (40.0%)
Overall: 18-16-1 (52.9%)
BDC Lock of the Week
Last Week: 0-1
Overall: 4-3 (57.1%)
Week 7 Whiffs:
— I think I may just pick against the Ravens the rest of the season seeing as how whichever way I lean in their games, the opposite happens.
— Carolina. What the…?
Through Week 7, here are the ATS Rankings:
As always, here is probably the most important line that you will read:
Disclaimer: Please do not take these picks and expect to make any real money. I enjoy picking games and the discussions they create so feel free to play along. I will provide information for each game, but please make your own decisions and BE RESPONSIBLE!
Feel free to play along, tell me where I’m wrong, post your own picks, or just enjoy the read. Enjoy the bye Ravens fans. On to Week 8…
Washington Football Team @ Denver Broncos (-3, o/u 43.5)
I like to live my life by the motto: “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.” That’s what I’m rolling with here. I have bet against Denver the past few weeks and it’s paid off. I don’t believe in the them and even though the Football Team has struggled mightily of late, I still think they have a very good chance to steal one in Denver this week.
So if you’re giving me points against Denver, I’ll happily take them and see you at the cashier.
Washington is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games. The Broncos are 1-2 ATS at home this season.
My Pick: Washington +3
Philadelphia Eagles @ Detroit Lions (+3.5, o/u 48)
THIS will be Detroit’s first win of the season. The Lions are going up against an Eagles’ defense that is struggling to say the least. They are giving up 133.0 yards on the ground (29th) and 26.4 points per game (24th). This may be Detroit’s best chance at landing a win in the 2021 season. Don’t blow it Jared.
Lions by three.
Philadelphia is 1-5 straight up in their last six games against teams under .500. The Lions are 0-15 straight up in their last 15 games as home underdogs.
My Pick: Detroit +3.5
Los Angeles Rams @ Houston Texans (+14, o/u 47.5)
The Rams got a little bit of a scare last week against the Lions, but I don’t think lightning will strike twice against a Houston team that has all but given up. If you look at the season numbers, the Rams dominate in nearly every category. The Texans’ defense is bad, but their offense may be worse. Aaron Donald should have a field day and the Rams will win comfortably.
The Rams are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against the AFC. The Texans are 1-11 straight up in their last 12 games.
My Pick: Los Angeles -14
New York Giants @ Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5, o/u 52)
Nothing like some home cooking after getting embarrassed in Tennessee last week for Patrick Mahomes and company. Lucky for them, they get the lowly Giants to snap out of their early season funk. If you can still get Kansas City at -9.5 (looking at you DraftKings), then I say pounce all over it. This has all the makings of a rout.
The Giants are 0-8 straight up in their last eight prime-time games. Kansas City is 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite.
My Pick: Kansas City -9.5
BDC Lock of the Week
Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings (+2.5, o/u 55)
Dallas is riding a perfect ATS record into their post-bye week matchup with Minnesota. Obviously, I don’t think they lose that perfect mark this week as the Cowboys are my lock of the week.
I have them here for one reason and one reason only. I truly can’t see the Vikings being able to put up the amount of points necessary to keep up with this Cowboys’ offense that has become quite the powerhouse. I love the Cowboys to win convincingly.
Minnesota is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against the Cowboys. The Cowboys are 1-7 straight up in their last eight prime-time games.
My Pick: Dallas -2.5
Enjoy the bye week everybody!
