Last week, we kept the fire burning, going 4-0 on our bets. And when it came to Monday Night Football, we continued our success with a 2-1 record, followed by another win on Thursday Night Football, as per my picks on my Twitter/X account @BetWithMatt_. We’re keeping the momentum going, and this week’s NFL action promises to be just as thrilling.Â
Ravens vs. Steelers: A Rivalry Renewed
The Ravens are coming off a spectacular win against the Cleveland Browns, who were without Deshaun Watson. Lamar Jackson delivered one of his best performances of the season, and it’s evident that he’s improving week by week. The Ravens are also getting some key players back this week, including LT Ronnie Stanley, WR Rashod Bateman, and S Marcus Williams, which is a significant boost to both their offense and defense.
On the flip side, the Steelers had a rough outing last week against the Houston Texans. They struggled to generate enough pressure on C.J. Stroud, who took full advantage, throwing for 306 yards and two touchdowns. Offensive coordinator Matt Canada is under increasing scrutiny from Steelers fans.
The obvious choice might be to bet the under at 38 points, given the history of low-scoring battles in the Ravens-Steelers rivalry. However, recent matchups when Jackson played have gone over that number. Without Alex Highsmith and with Stanley’s return, the Ravens may not face as much pressure, allowing them to focus on containing T.J. Watt. The pressure is on Canada to deliver a strong offensive game this week. We’re going against the public sentiment.
My pick: Over 38 (-108)
Other NFL Picks
Colts vs. Titans
Derrick Henry has historically dominated the Colts, often rushing for over 100 yards against them. The Colts’ rushing defense ranks 22nd in the league, and with Jonathan Taylor returning from injury, they may try to control the game on the ground. This could force Anthony Richardson to pass, which could be problematic.
My pick: Derrick Henry Over 75.5 rushing yards (-114)
Lions vs. Panthers
The Panthers have struggled offensively, and their defense has been their strong suit. They rank 6th in passing defense but 26th against the run. Most Panther games have averaged around 42 combined points with their opponents. The Lions are likely to run the ball a lot and control the clock, making this a low-scoring affair.
My pick: Under 44.5 (-118)
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49ers vs. Cowboys
While many expect the Cowboys to lose, digging into the numbers reveals a different story. The 49ers’ defense excels against the run but struggles against the pass, ranking 17th in passing defense. They’ve heavily relied on Christian McCaffery, who is averaging around 116 yards per game, but the Cowboys will aim to force the game into a quarterback shootout.
My picks: Cowboys +3.5 (-110) and McCaffery under 78.5 rushing yards (-114)
(Do not parlay these!)
As we approach Week 5, let’s continue our winning streak and make the most of these NFL matchups. Stay tuned for more NFL betting insights and strategies as the season unfolds.
