Last week may have been a bit rough with a 1-3 record on our picks, but if you’ve been following my Twitter account (@iamattking), you know I’ve been on fire since then. With successful Monday Night and Thursday Night Football picks under our belt, we’re entering this NFL weekend with renewed confidence. Let’s dive right into the action, starting with the Ravens.
The Ravens: Hungry for Redemption
The Ravens are determined to bounce back after a surprising loss to the Colts last week. It was undoubtedly a tough outing, with the Ravens delivering their worst offensive performance of the season. But this team is hungry for redemption. They understand the significance of winning this divisional matchup against the Cleveland Browns, which would put them at a 2-0 divisional record and in prime position to lead the AFC North once again.
Good news for the Ravens is that key players are returning to practice: the likes of C Tyler Linderbaum, LT Ronnie Stanley, RB Justice Hill, and even the unexpected return of S Marcus Williams, who initially looked to have a severe injury. However, Stanley is expected to be sidelined on Sunday, which is less than ideal as the Ravens face the formidable edge rushers, Myles Garrett and Za’Darius Smith, from the Browns.
Let’s be honest, though: the Browns’ defense might be a tad overrated. They’ve faced off against the offensively struggling Bengals, Steelers, and Titans this season. The Browns’ offense hasn’t been consistent either, with Deshaun Watson‘s shaky start in Cleveland. Notably, Watson is dealing with a shoulder injury, which could further hamper the Browns. With the Ravens in a prime bounce-back position, key players returning, and the Browns encountering their toughest offensive test yet, we’re banking on the Ravens winning outright as underdogs in Cleveland.
We’ll keep the points.
My pick: Ravens ML (+110)
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Other NFL Picks
Colts vs. Rams
The oddsmakers have me scratching my head on this one. Why are the Rams underdogs at +1? If they were at home, they’d be favored by two. The Rams have played solid football, and despite a 1-2 start, they’ve shown promise. The Colts’ pass defense is ranked 23rd, and they’ve struggled against pass-heavy offenses. With Matthew Stafford and the Rams being a pass-heavy team, we’re not too concerned about the point spread.
My pick: Rams ML (-108)
Bills vs. Dolphins
While it may seem tempting to bet on the Dolphins after their recent success, history tells us a different story. The Bills have won nine of their last ten games against the Dolphins. They also boast the best home record in the NFL since 2020 at 25-6. The Bills’ pass rush has been relentless, forcing turnovers and causing chaos for opposing quarterbacks. However, there’s a Vegas trap here; despite Jordan Poyer‘s absence, the line hasn’t moved in the Dolphins’ favor.
My pick: Bills -2.5 (-122)
As we move into Week 4, let’s look to rebound and get back on the winning track. Stay tuned for more NFL betting insights and strategies as the season unfolds.